Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62508ab716d757d6a26ecc24b44ef08121722b62a0a7f12f1b06fa4297ca0afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa967…79a5backed No | 30c | 1,242$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.75 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 42c | 1,152$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.1 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 71c | 1,023$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 40c | 925.21$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.35 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 48c | 648.88$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 23c | 626.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.27 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 27c | 554.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…517ebacked Yes | 71c | 552.04$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.94 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 548.85$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 529.02$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.96 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 56c | 508.1$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.6 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 42c | 463.71$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.01 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 40c | 448.9$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 12c | 403.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 37c | 377.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 36c | 371.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.66 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 12c | 368.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 17c | 363.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 38c | 350$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.15 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 58c | 345.67$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…0932backed Yes | 43c | 335.96$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.92 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 18c | 331.13$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…1c49backed No | 4c | 314.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 43c | 299.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.55 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 63c | 289.57$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.13 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 17c | 277.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 261.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 41c | 240$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed Yes | 75c | 238.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 55c | 236.68$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 44c | 234.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 25c | 232$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed Yes | 60c | 229.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 52c | 215.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.46 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 36c | 213.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 40c | 212.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 77c | 206.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…aa66backed Yes | 44c | 200$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 194.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 66c | 187.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.67 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 186.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 57c | 184.59$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.68 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 181.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 31c | 177.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed Yes | 53c | 174.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.29 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 39c | 171.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 23c | 170.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 62c | 156.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 57c | 152.05$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 38c | 151.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 23c | 148$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Yes | 42c | 146.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 40c | 146.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 48c | 144.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 38c | 132.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.4 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 131$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…e6b8backed Yes | 39c | 129.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 19c | 112.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 109.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441a…e9c7backed Yes | 30c | 106.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.91 | 395 | 43.5%172 W · 223 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 57c | 105.28$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 77c | 103$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbc…e05dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 61c | 93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 44c | 89.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 40c | 87.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 62c | 86.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.84 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 55c | 83.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 82.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed Yes | 36c | 80.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.78 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 37c | 80.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd46…e514backed No | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 59c | 75.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 43c | 75.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 27c | 72.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 37c | 72.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 47c | 72.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 179 | 47.5%85 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 42c | 72.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 62c | 71.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 62c | 69.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…44adbacked Yes | 51c | 68.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 41c | 68.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 43c | 67.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 67.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked No | 51c | 66.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 149 | 34.2%51 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 32c | 64.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed Yes | 42c | 63.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 46c | 63.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 59c | 63.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 36c | 63.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 36c | 63.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 203 | 27.1%55 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.