Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01e673393dd932ea9dbc40cc0a3225df980db79318411cb62d43db6c0d517e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked Yes | 21c | 1,283$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.02 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…265cbacked No | 77c | 801.95$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.83 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 26c | 782.8$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.85 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 25c | 750.74$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 16c | 740.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed No | 77c | 716.7$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.42 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 31c | 583.95$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.82 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 75c | 458.88$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 632 | 55.7%352 W · 280 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 405.1$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 28c | 402.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.55 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 374.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 79c | 367.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 4c | 350$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 68c | 335.48$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 74c | 304.1$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…44adbacked Yes | 26c | 282.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.14 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 22c | 270.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 32c | 261.81$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.64 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 41c | 251.75$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 251 | 35.1%88 W · 163 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 25c | 239.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 73c | 226.51$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 18c | 224.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 33c | 197.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 172.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 79c | 168.66$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 166.68$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 75c | 161$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 147$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 146.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 18c | 137.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 42c | 132.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed No | 76c | 132.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 73c | 128.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 29c | 118$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…84dcbacked Yes | 25c | 115.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 18c | 112.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 108.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 19c | 107.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 103.3$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 24c | 102.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…4886backed No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 70c | 92.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8174…be40backed No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d70…cc5ebacked No | 72c | 87.05$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 156 | 66%103 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 79c | 86.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 28c | 72.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked Yes | 15c | 69.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 35c | 68.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fc…4330backed No | 74c | 67.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…3845backed Yes | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 75c | 63.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed No | 73c | 62.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 73c | 62.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 68c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed Yes | 24c | 60.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 74c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 73c | 58.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e2…a783backed Yes | 38c | 58.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 58.01$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 73c | 57.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 19c | 55.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 75c | 52.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc64…2c70backed Yes | 30c | 50.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…c988backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 75c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed Yes | 23c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 49.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 79c | 48.63$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 76c | 44.9$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 77c | 44.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 76c | 44.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4eb…69e7backed Yes | 30c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fa…d3fbbacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 31cpaid | -78%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 66c | 40.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…6e66backed Yes | 29c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…4edbbacked No | 76c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 75c | 36.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 35.83$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd636…10efbacked No | 75c | 35.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 77c | 35.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 76c | 35.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 30?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.