Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Team Weibo (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0534f098ef5b2dba076faaaffefb99afa8d42e5078174b1c74d6e1124851289
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TEC Esportsof TEC Esports, Team Weibo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Team Weibo | 36c | 3,546$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.48 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed TEC Esports | 63c | 2,800$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.99 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed Team Weibo | 34c | 1,560$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed TEC Esports | 66c | 1,113$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.95 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Weibo | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…dc9ebacked TEC Esports | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +77%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed Team Weibo | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked TEC Esports | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Team Weibo | 33c | 749.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Team Weibo | 37c | 559.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Weibo | 27c | 500.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.83 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked TEC Esports | 65c | 493.38$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed TEC Esports | 66c | 474.02$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed TEC Esports | 63c | 417.67$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.54 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed TEC Esports | 64c | 382.81$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.81 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…ec97backed TEC Esports | 64c | 375$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Weibo | 16c | 344.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed TEC Esports | 64c | 324.84$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.94 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Team Weibo | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked TEC Esports | 66c | 198.39$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked TEC Esports | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Team Weibo | 28c | 184.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed TEC Esports | 66c | 147.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Team Weibo | 69c | 143.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed TEC Esports | 64c | 139.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…47ecbacked Team Weibo | 29c | 137.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed TEC Esports | 31c | 125.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Team Weibo | 38c | 120.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked TEC Esports | 70c | 102.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Weibo | 36c | 92.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed TEC Esports | 76c | 79.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Team Weibo | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed TEC Esports | 61c | 71.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Team Weibo | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849a…9207backed TEC Esports | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked TEC Esports | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked TEC Esports | 65c | 43.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdccb…0693backed TEC Esports | 68c | 36.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa757…5e58backed TEC Esports | 57c | 34.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked TEC Esports | 66c | 33.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Team Weibo | 39c | 32.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Team Weibo | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…7d1cbacked Team Weibo | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed TEC Esports | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed TEC Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1aa…bf0fbacked TEC Esports | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Weibo | 67c | 18.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.