Boxing · resolved market
Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47e11e2ce73fd76de996ee2b818516907e1ca02344fe7121f754cc5295f00927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manzielof Manziel, Menery
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf239…631fbacked Menery | 30c | 13,994$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Manziel | 77c | 5,746$4,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Menery | 21c | 5,271$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.68 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9513…940fbacked Manziel | 69c | 2,875$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Manziel | 63c | 2,508$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Menery | 23c | 2,229$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Manziel | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…cc7ebacked Menery | 38c | 1,868$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Manziel | 73c | 1,444$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.58 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2259…4d92backed Manziel | 71c | 1,399$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed Manziel | 80c | 1,328$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.68 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Manziel | 76c | 1,295$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Manziel | 58c | 1,267$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…f52abacked Manziel | 75c | 1,099$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf9…a4a8backed Menery | 31c | 1,049$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Manziel | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Menery | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +6.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Manziel | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Menery | 17c | 1,000$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Manziel | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Manziel | 68c | 920.68$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Manziel | 66c | 900$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Menery | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Menery | 20c | 747.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Menery | 18c | 674.12$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Menery | 33c | 672.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Manziel | 74c | 663.49$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Menery | 28c | 653$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf26c…ebe5backed Manziel | 69c | 652.87$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c2…8915backed Menery | 22c | 652.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…31ebbacked Manziel | 78c | 639.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Menery | 30c | 627.83$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…27e9backed Menery | 34c | 591.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…9a79backed Menery | 20c | 580.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Menery | 21c | 531.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Manziel | 51c | 524.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Manziel | 65c | 517.51$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…337abacked Manziel | 70c | 505$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…cacabacked Menery | 23c | 501.51$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Menery | 26c | 420$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Manziel | 72c | 411.44$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Manziel | 64c | 400$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…da93backed Menery | 25c | 398.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Manziel | 72c | 372.87$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Menery | 25c | 336.18$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b1…2379backed Manziel | 72c | 331.78$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Menery | 29c | 315$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Manziel | 63c | 302.33$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0c…cab8backed Manziel | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…eaa7backed Manziel | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1614…1301backed Menery | 24c | 275.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…ef07backed Manziel | 78c | 257.43$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdc…560bbacked Manziel | 78c | 256.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…c7d0backed Menery | 39c | 252.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…279fbacked Manziel | 78c | 248.84$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…c110backed Manziel | 78c | 247.69$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…896abacked Menery | 29c | 239.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Manziel | 73c | 235.71$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…b5bbbacked Menery | 28c | 231.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x201a…fe3dbacked Menery | 11c | 220.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Manziel | 70c | 214$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde64…a821backed Menery | 20c | 209$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3535…75b2backed Menery | 11c | 207.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…b506backed Manziel | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…a73abacked Manziel | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed Manziel | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Manziel | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Manziel | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbede…bfa5backed Menery | 28c | 179.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Menery | 23c | 171.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ba…1259backed Menery | 24c | 167.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…fab5backed Manziel | 78c | 164$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…a23bbacked Menery | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Menery | 17c | 160.43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Menery | 32c | 158.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…3077backed Menery | 22c | 156.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…c247backed Menery | 23c | 156.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…38e5backed Manziel | 77c | 152.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…93bcbacked Manziel | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Manziel | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e12…7bd7backed Manziel | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf9…0930backed Manziel | 68c | 147.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0a…be95backed Manziel | 78c | 143$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc726…becdbacked Manziel | 68c | 142.17$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Menery | 33c | 132$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Manziel | 68c | 130$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Manziel | 77c | 129.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a0…4458backed Menery | 26c | 129.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked Menery | 22c | 129.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Manziel | 79c | 126.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked Manziel | 77c | 126.95$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Menery | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Menery | 25c | 114.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…5d28backed Menery | 30c | 113.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…3047backed Menery | 33c | 112.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5a…ab91backed Manziel | 64c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed Menery | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…b24ebacked Manziel | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…e373backed Manziel | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Manziel | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.