Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fab5d4417d620e92dcb5e6b87363d73088c774f389ddd73680beaeb1c6021cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda18…4282backed Yes | 43c | 1,072$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.05 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 911.05$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 579.51$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 518.42$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.36 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 38c | 381.62$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.84 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 260.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.33 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 24c | 243.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 80c | 237.9$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 30c | 233.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 231.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 199.79$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 70c | 190$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 186.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 28c | 181.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 26c | 178.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 55c | 159.22$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 145.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 69c | 144.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 53c | 144.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.78 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 61c | 134$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 24c | 132.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked Yes | 15c | 131.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 31c | 129.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 53c | 128.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 36c | 123.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 120.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.25 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 48c | 117.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 353 | 25.5%90 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 70c | 104$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 102.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 90.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f8…2f98backed Yes | 43c | 89.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 59c | 88.45$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 20c | 80.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 32c | 73.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 68c | 70.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.24 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…0f48backed No | 55c | 64.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 39c | 62.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 68c | 54.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 29c | 54.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 60c | 50.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…4c27backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da3…0fdcbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,024 | 25%256 W · 768 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 31c | 49.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 49.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 77c | 44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…7cacbacked Yes | 34c | 43.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…8f53backed No | 74c | 40.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 31c | 38.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 36.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdab…088abacked Yes | 28c | 36.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf2…76f0backed Yes | 28c | 36.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 55c | 35.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed Yes | 39c | 33.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4746backed No | 76c | 33.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed No | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 69c | 31.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 35c | 29.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 37c | 27.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 70c | 24.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 66c | 21.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f33…da59backed No | 75c | 21.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 57c | 20.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 66c | 19.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 75c | 19.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29bc…e100backed No | 75c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 19?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 19?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 19?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.