Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99eddbd41420ced1ca9f566d80cfaf936a4bf4aa549a9ce101880fb3960f8180
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sloane Stephensof Sloane Stephens, Lisa Pigato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lisa Pigato | 45c | 4,062$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.83 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Sloane Stephens | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Sloane Stephens | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 1,960$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.13 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lisa Pigato | 33c | 1,796$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.6 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Lisa Pigato | 65c | 1,231$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Sloane Stephens | 46c | 1,208$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.67 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sloane Stephens | 36c | 1,015$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sloane Stephens | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sloane Stephens | 75c | 800.5$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Sloane Stephens | 63c | 780.23$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 703.93$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lisa Pigato | 2c | 637.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Lisa Pigato | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Lisa Pigato | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 308 | 57.1%176 W · 132 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Sloane Stephens | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Lisa Pigato | 41c | 446.24$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.09 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Sloane Stephens | 76c | 416.06$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Sloane Stephens | 44c | 399.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Lisa Pigato | 48c | 385.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 322 | 40.7%131 W · 191 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…78ebbacked Lisa Pigato | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Sloane Stephens | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 711 | 65.1%463 W · 248 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Lisa Pigato | 55c | 332.81$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.05 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Lisa Pigato | 58c | 298$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lisa Pigato | 36c | 242$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 194.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Sloane Stephens | 59c | 177.5$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lisa Pigato | 36c | 159.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Sloane Stephens | 74c | 140$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sloane Stephens | 42c | 138.36$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Sloane Stephens | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…38a8backed Lisa Pigato | 39c | 111.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lisa Pigato | 42c | 100.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 99.96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Sloane Stephens | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 87.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Sloane Stephens | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 76.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.42 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Lisa Pigato | 38c | 73.28$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Sloane Stephens | 42c | 66.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lisa Pigato | 56c | 66.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sloane Stephens | 45c | 63.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sloane Stephens | 42c | 61.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…7ddebacked Lisa Pigato | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Sloane Stephens | 60c | 53.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Lisa Pigato | 53c | 52.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Sloane Stephens | 60c | 49.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Sloane Stephens | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sloane Stephens | 70c | 45.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c89…0057backed Lisa Pigato | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Sloane Stephens | 43c | 38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Lisa Pigato | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…07d7backed Sloane Stephens | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 28.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Lisa Pigato | 58c | 26.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Sloane Stephens | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Sloane Stephens | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…0ae3backed Lisa Pigato | 41c | 24.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Sloane Stephens | 43c | 24.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…306fbacked Sloane Stephens | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sloane Stephens | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Sloane Stephens | 46c | 22.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Lisa Pigato | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigatothis page
- Stephens vs. Pigato: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.