TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b73…38a8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT9247.8%44 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.26
Roland Garros WTA: Hailey Baptiste vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.92
Roland Garros WTA: Magdalena Frech vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.03
Roland Garros WTA: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Caty McNallybacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$131.83
Roland Garros WTA: Lilli Tagger vs Xinyu Wangbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.21
ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Iva Primoracbacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$31.72
ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Demi Tranbacked Demi Tran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.21
ITF Takasaki: Yuki Naito vs Valentina Ryserbacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.35
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Buvaysar Gadamauribacked Max Alcala Gurri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$114
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.31
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Learner Tienbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarrobacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
ITF Bol: Lea Nilsson vs Iva Primoracbacked Iva Primorac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$19.04
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Petra Marcinkobacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.83
ITF Bol: Weronika Falkowska vs Eva Bennemannbacked Eva Bennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
ITF Takasaki: Haruka Kaji vs Valentina Ryserbacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.1
ITF Takasaki: Momoko Kobori vs Yuki Naitobacked Momoko Kobori · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$14.65
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinkobacked Petra Marcinko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$16.33
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.16
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Guiomar Maristany vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$36.89
ITF Takasaki: Valentina Ryser vs Natsumi Kawaguchibacked Valentina Ryser · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$37.74
ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukudabacked Sora Fukuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$33.41
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$134.25
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.07
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$8.23
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.85
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+137%+$139.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.