Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Demi Tran
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04689ca9eea054dfb4734f45c46f8dd055a774a235533cb499c0e01a4ea0f940
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Irem Kurtof Irem Kurt, Demi Tran
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Demi Tran | 32c | 2,077$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Irem Kurt | 75c | 2,001$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.3 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Irem Kurt | 60c | 1,174$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.17 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Demi Tran | 25c | 676.58$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Irem Kurt | 72c | 417.49$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Demi Tran | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Demi Tran | 7c | 250$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Irem Kurt | 76c | 231$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Irem Kurt | 79c | 216.58$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…38a8backed Demi Tran | 53c | 193.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Demi Tran | 28c | 104.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Irem Kurt | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Irem Kurt | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…1fe3backed Irem Kurt | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…c669backed Demi Tran | 35c | 57.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Irem Kurt | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Demi Tran | 26c | 49.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Demi Tran | 30c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Irem Kurt | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.