MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72bb3165cf1a35f435c6b8dc9694866072efc1a3c1acc76514280d3c5cc4ba35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Seattle Mariners, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $712,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 77,035$38,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,373.42 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 43,534$21,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,661.94 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 43,304$28,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,973.74 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 42,394$23,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,740.46 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Houston Astros | 52c | 41,577$21,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,819.79 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de3…a1fabacked Seattle Mariners | 32c | 23,884$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 18,496$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,987.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 16,253$8,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,224 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 15,272$6,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,705.51 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 40c | 14,031$5,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,398.85 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 13,133$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 12,175$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,939.83 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 12,072$5,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,489.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 11,765$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,763.81 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 9,956$5,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,475.95 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 9,848$5,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,033 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Houston Astros | 34c | 9,527$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,288 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 9,284$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,013.61 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Houston Astros | 42c | 8,934$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,181.73 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 8,599$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.7 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Houston Astros | 47c | 8,511$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,510.64 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 8,500$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.95 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 65c | 7,180$4,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,534.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Houston Astros | 63c | 7,000$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565.02 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 6,701$3,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,371.5 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 6,335$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,910.03 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Houston Astros | 78c | 5,993$4,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.27 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Houston Astros | 64c | 5,783$3,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.64 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Houston Astros | 44c | 5,628$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,148.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 54c | 5,612$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Seattle Mariners | 23c | 5,118$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.19 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 55c | 5,086$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.52 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Houston Astros | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Houston Astros | 71c | 4,800$3,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.7 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Houston Astros | 53c | 4,718$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Houston Astros | 44c | 4,294$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.76 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Seattle Mariners | 59c | 4,265$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.66 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 4,051$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.17 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 57c | 4,038$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.84 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Houston Astros | 46c | 3,949$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,148.57 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Houston Astros | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Houston Astros | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,649.96 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 53c | 2,934$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.67 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.98 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Houston Astros | 44c | 2,601$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.55 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 2,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 1,957$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.99 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Seattle Mariners | 38c | 1,874$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.45 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Houston Astros | 69c | 1,858$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.26 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Houston Astros | 54c | 1,836$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.49 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,731$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.96 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Houston Astros | 34c | 1,715$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.29 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,668$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.84 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,653$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.46 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,630$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.04 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,500$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,435$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.5 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Houston Astros | 56c | 1,419$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.42 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 77c | 1,391$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.66 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,324$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.72 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Houston Astros | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Houston Astros | 51c | 1,264$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.36 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 43c | 1,200$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,168$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,110$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.1 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,028$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.03 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Houston Astros | 46c | 1,005$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.71 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…1dddbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…af0dbacked Houston Astros | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Seattle Mariners | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +289.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 909$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Houston Astros | 44c | 900$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 849.98$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.49 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde33…0098backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 806.84$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 797.82$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.11 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 796.95$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.22 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 770.02$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.71 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…ab16backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 759.4$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Houston Astros | 51c | 750$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.5 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…1cc9backed Houston Astros | 35c | 735.38$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Houston Astros | 62c | 714.2$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.34 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Houston Astros | 71c | 702.76$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.19 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Houston Astros | 78c | 698.66$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.06 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Houston Astros | 43c | 679.07$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.07 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 623.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd3…ccacbacked Seattle Mariners | 16c | 612.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 595.63$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Seattle Mariners | 6c | 591.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 52c | 581.16$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 573.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 564.26$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Seattle Mariners | 32c | 560$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.71 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 559.95$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.