TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF Gimcheon: Tai Leonard Sach vs Sora Fukuda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tai Leonard Sachof Tai Leonard Sach, Sora Fukuda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$18,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,318

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,279 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Sora Fukuda48c2,166$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.1612146.3%56 W · 65 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b8f…449bbacked Tai Leonard Sach67c2,000$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.997159.2%42 W · 29 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Tai Leonard Sach51c1,274$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.84,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sora Fukuda24c977.4$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.4458048.4%281 W · 299 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tai Leonard Sach68c933.45$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.194,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sora Fukuda2c925.97$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.832,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Sora Fukuda25c891.09$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.084,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sora Fukuda34c783.68$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.77,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Sora Fukuda26c740$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.419740.6%80 W · 117 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed Tai Leonard Sach64c565.89$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.4521560.5%130 W · 85 L+15.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8a2a…420abacked Sora Fukuda25c479.86$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick23cpaid-75.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Sora Fukuda26c404.49$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.025,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sora Fukuda37c353.39$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.763,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sora Fukuda15c332.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.456,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Tai Leonard Sach63c318.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8823159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Tai Leonard Sach70c302.77$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7435932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Sora Fukuda34c290$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.525147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Sora Fukuda14c267.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…2dafbacked Tai Leonard Sach60c243.72$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Tai Leonard Sach80c230.13$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1533253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Sora Fukuda28c211.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606225.8%16 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+113.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Sora Fukuda39c203.32$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Tai Leonard Sach57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2514531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed Sora Fukuda43c200$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.259458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x758e…f824backed Sora Fukuda55c180.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…03e5backed Tai Leonard Sach69c153.17$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.983464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5036…6c08backed Tai Leonard Sach67c147$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.815550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…e4edbacked Tai Leonard Sach76c138.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Sora Fukuda27c130.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1025…f5bdbacked Sora Fukuda42c122.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.475738.6%22 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked Tai Leonard Sach53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4722359.6%133 W · 90 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Sora Fukuda26c79.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.996,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb98e…eceebacked Tai Leonard Sach79c63.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cd…e5a8backed Tai Leonard Sach59c51.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.088537.6%32 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51c…8ecabacked Tai Leonard Sach69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.48666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Sora Fukuda38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sora Fukuda39c37.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.826,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Sora Fukuda32c37.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9721845.9%100 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Tai Leonard Sach64c37.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4360943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfa…1e46backed Sora Fukuda45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83bd…ee1cbacked Tai Leonard Sach61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b73…38a8backed Sora Fukuda43c32.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.929247.8%44 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…69ddbacked Tai Leonard Sach65c30.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Sora Fukuda40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1243334.9%151 W · 282 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…1613backed Tai Leonard Sach59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.428655.8%48 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9124…7a4dbacked Tai Leonard Sach79c25.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.425078%39 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4e3…8c11backed Sora Fukuda43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.759436.2%34 W · 60 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b8c…20e4backed Tai Leonard Sach57c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7510264.7%66 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tai Leonard Sach59c24.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.072,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…970cbacked Tai Leonard Sach69c23.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.19875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8228…61fdbacked Tai Leonard Sach61c22.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3956…7fe3backed Tai Leonard Sach64c22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c6c…be63backed Tai Leonard Sach63c16.4$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.032763%17 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.