Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bol: Lea Nilsson vs Iva Primorac
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf265ce01d70541eff3b5508eeb2ab33ed894208405f89ae9ace1607a2f98564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iva Primoracof Lea Nilsson, Iva Primorac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lea Nilsson | 26c | 2,075$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.87 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Iva Primorac | 75c | 1,247$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.52 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iva Primorac | 74c | 1,179$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…7bdabacked Iva Primorac | 73c | 632.93$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.89 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lea Nilsson | 47c | 545.57$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.42 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Iva Primorac | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lea Nilsson | 35c | 483.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Lea Nilsson | 38c | 393.12$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…f5bdbacked Lea Nilsson | 26c | 328.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Iva Primorac | 76c | 322.85$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Iva Primorac | 69c | 299.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lea Nilsson | 47c | 255.3$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Iva Primorac | 53c | 230$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.1 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Lea Nilsson | 14c | 219$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed Iva Primorac | 53c | 189.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lea Nilsson | 46c | 127.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Lea Nilsson | 27c | 120.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lea Nilsson | 35c | 111.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lea Nilsson | 43c | 110.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed Lea Nilsson | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lea Nilsson | 35c | 101.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lea Nilsson | 11c | 99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Iva Primorac | 68c | 95.05$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lea Nilsson | 40c | 86.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Lea Nilsson | 32c | 75.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Iva Primorac | 76c | 68.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lea Nilsson | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Iva Primorac | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lea Nilsson | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lea Nilsson | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Iva Primorac | 67c | 48.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Lea Nilsson | 58c | 40.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…38a8backed Iva Primorac | 51c | 38.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lea Nilsson | 42c | 36.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Lea Nilsson | 41c | 36.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Iva Primorac | 54c | 35.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…1fe3backed Iva Primorac | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Iva Primorac | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Iva Primorac | 53c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.