MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fea4751caab4adf43d5292ff5834493b8e56b885bee8c4a957b9e7ffc71c63f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Giantsof San Francisco Giants, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $594,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $646,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 299 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Athletics | 56c | 100,000$56,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,999.96 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Francisco Giants | 47c | 70,478$33,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,235.75 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Athletics | 19c | 60,454$11,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,595.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 6c | 47,076$2,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.82 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Athletics | 41c | 32,998$13,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,494.18 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 11c | 30,551$3,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,235.53 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 26,767$17,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,164.79 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 11,982$5,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720.31 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 9,922$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850.42 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 9,795$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,795.43 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 9,000$5,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,690 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 7,631$3,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,196.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Athletics | 20c | 6,438$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.29 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f8…8ea0backed San Francisco Giants | 59c | 6,197$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Athletics | 55c | 6,030$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.64 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Athletics | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.97 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 5,374$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.59 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 38c | 4,673$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.07 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 4,415$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.98 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Athletics | 12c | 4,014$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Athletics | 1c | 3,768$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 3,640$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Athletics | 8c | 3,547$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 28c | 3,257$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.81 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 55c | 3,104$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.25 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 10c | 3,055$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.95 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked San Francisco Giants | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Athletics | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 16c | 2,721$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.64 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Francisco Giants | 68c | 2,608$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.7 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 54c | 2,385$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Athletics | 50c | 2,113$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.4 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Athletics | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Athletics | 4c | 2,044$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Athletics | 1c | 1,933$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Athletics | 56c | 1,810$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Athletics | 7c | 1,664$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed San Francisco Giants | 58c | 1,662$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.83 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 8c | 1,555$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.07 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 59c | 1,527$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.17 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Athletics | 56c | 1,489$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.83 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 48c | 1,450$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Athletics | 10c | 1,395$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics | 12c | 1,392$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics | 2c | 1,376$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Athletics | 9c | 1,359$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 10c | 1,240$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed San Francisco Giants | 67c | 1,235$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.21 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 12c | 1,205$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 1,151$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Athletics | 57c | 1,140$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked San Francisco Giants | 79c | 1,081$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.21 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,060$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Athletics | 3c | 1,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Athletics | 7c | 1,035$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 55c | 1,005$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.75 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 56c | 991$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.96 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Athletics | 51c | 986.45$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.09 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd25…7d10backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 855.67$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Athletics | 20c | 839.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Athletics | 4c | 782$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 10c | 764.49$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f8…e851backed San Francisco Giants | 78c | 751.23$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Francisco Giants | 66c | 680$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.8 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked San Francisco Giants | 79c | 675.23$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Athletics | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed San Francisco Giants | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 22c | 592.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Athletics | 55c | 586.23$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…8210backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Athletics | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Athletics | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed San Francisco Giants | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 476.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.09 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Athletics | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Athletics | 10c | 467.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 9c | 455.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Athletics | 56c | 455$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 446$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Athletics | 13c | 435.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 18c | 422$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed San Francisco Giants | 63c | 401.61$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Athletics | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 54c | 383.64$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Athletics | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Francisco Giants | 75c | 356.28$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe18…3980backed San Francisco Giants | 55c | 355.36$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Athletics | 45c | 354.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.7 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Athletics | 55c | 327.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Francisco Giants | 45c | 320$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed San Francisco Giants | 44c | 315.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Athletics | 56c | 304$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Athletics | 16c | 303.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Athletics | 7c | 301.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)Athletics won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Athletics won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.