TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Golden State Valkyries, Indiana Fever
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$193,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$209,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,315 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Golden State Valkyries38c19,117$7,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.8822748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever58c13,855$7,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,868.8636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Golden State Valkyries0c12,250$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.444915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Indiana Fever65c11,037$7,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,862.973842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries50c9,684$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.7799548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Indiana Fever43c9,370$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,370.282839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever51c7,217$3,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.091,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Golden State Valkyries35c7,027$2,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,459.227449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Golden State Valkyries52c5,011$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.1116152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Golden State Valkyries0c4,800$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Indiana Fever45c4,426$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,426.11560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+77.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Golden State Valkyries46c3,956$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.25250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Golden State Valkyries35c3,429$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Golden State Valkyries37c3,117$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.9526247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2768…2e81backed Golden State Valkyries36c2,726$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.19333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Indiana Fever50c2,525$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.394438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Golden State Valkyries38c2,448$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.894847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Indiana Fever46c2,255$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,219.074450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Indiana Fever49c1,985$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.273933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever56c1,934$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.2155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Golden State Valkyries21c1,639$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.4219428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Indiana Fever68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.592951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Indiana Fever67c1,381$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.722259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Indiana Fever47c1,338$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed Indiana Fever69c1,278$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-51.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever61c1,230$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.221,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Golden State Valkyries47c1,187$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.920947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Golden State Valkyries33c1,086$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.2114060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever48c929$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.0826147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Golden State Valkyries48c880.7$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries32c873.38$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.4846247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Golden State Valkyries48c856.94$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.336749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries4c836.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Golden State Valkyries31c736.32$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.712842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Golden State Valkyries36c730$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.413024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries33c701$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.3336154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Golden State Valkyries40c700$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.43732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ada…d690backed Golden State Valkyries35c635.53$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Golden State Valkyries48c612.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.1810144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Golden State Valkyries40c600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.912840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Indiana Fever65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf11e…4014backed Indiana Fever62c589.81$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac7…3ef9backed Golden State Valkyries35c542.8$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.632740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Indiana Fever52c531.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Golden State Valkyries35c504.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3812745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Golden State Valkyries62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Golden State Valkyries49c402.14$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0510552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Golden State Valkyries32c400$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1282937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Golden State Valkyries8c392.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Golden State Valkyries32c354.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8623245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Indiana Fever67c343.28$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.288061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries30c334.01$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0534753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4dee…5d00backed Indiana Fever68c322.19$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.192050%10 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever63c283.05$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Golden State Valkyries62c277.93$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Indiana Fever42c270.07$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Golden State Valkyries31c265.36$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.262853.6%15 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6858…7d47backed Golden State Valkyries31c260$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.62365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.2wins+0.23per pick42cpaid+76.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries5c254.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9431043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Indiana Fever65c230.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.7619458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries33c228$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0432049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ac…e602backed Golden State Valkyries37c221.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Golden State Valkyries53c215$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.958051.3%41 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Indiana Fever51c194.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc668…0a90backed Golden State Valkyries33c170.62$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.32347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Indiana Fever45c166.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.822360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden State Valkyries13c163.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3213143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Indiana Fever62c160.45$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Indiana Fever53c160.35$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7230347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Indiana Fever57c156.77$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8418844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed Indiana Fever53c156.65$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.742268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e0a…629dbacked Indiana Fever65c153.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Golden State Valkyries37c149.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.166127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Indiana Fever67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257946.8%37 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Golden State Valkyries53c147.78$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.326640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana Fever62c142.95$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.331847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Fever58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.215250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Golden State Valkyries59c138.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4911253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Indiana Fever66c120.9$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.53540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Golden State Valkyries30c117.3$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.199146.2%42 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085b…ab9fbacked Golden State Valkyries44c113.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.722429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f6b…b245backed Indiana Fever42c108.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.291428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Indiana Fever72c104.07$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.645362.3%33 W · 20 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Indiana Fever70c102.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8812144.6%54 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Indiana Fever55c102$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4610657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Golden State Valkyries12c100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Indiana Fever69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadcc…9cddbacked Golden State Valkyries60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Indiana Fever66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Golden State Valkyries30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries33c98.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2342649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Golden State Valkyries33c96.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9913422.4%30 W · 104 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed Golden State Valkyries35c93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.554431.8%14 W · 30 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a15…e238backed Golden State Valkyries33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308550.6%43 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c16…66cebacked Golden State Valkyries48c82.68$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.417041.4%29 W · 41 L-11.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-29.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Indiana Fever47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.441147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb518…3403backed Golden State Valkyries36c77.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Golden State Valkyries20c77.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.494617.4%8 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Golden State Valkyries51c72$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7212343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries51c66.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.