WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dc3c288daa84d6b35f050bfdd820118c41cc7037d5248191778767166f36068
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,728$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.95 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 2,687$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.86 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 700$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Indiana Fever | 38c | 526$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.12 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -13.5wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 490.28$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.39 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 192$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 164.83$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Golden State Valkyries | 64c | 155.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Indiana Fever | 36c | 137$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 131$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 111$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Indiana Fever | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 93.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 77.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 70.85$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 32.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 22.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.