WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb31a4253324c352b566295494c5a9c357b443a1f33f04fe19aeb8d34918a83a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 56c | 6,000$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,352.8 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8aa…81ecbacked Over | 50c | 3,460$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 45c | 1,929$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.58 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 1,178$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.14 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 975.11$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.89 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 898.07$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 53c | 499.55$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.76 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 498.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.37 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 44c | 307$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.92 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 44c | 250.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 51c | 196.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 48c | 195.31$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 50c | 93.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 73.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 45c | 65.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -6.3wins | -0.37per pick | 43cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Over | 44c | 46.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Over | 46c | 22.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 76c | 14.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.