WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc19de06b8a8761cae4ed7666a4fe3f77fd6b7740bd2e2cd6b6110cacd79d796a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,540$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 48c | 2,485$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 48c | 2,081$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 49c | 1,041$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.23 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 946$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.34 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 7c | 648.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.53 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 48c | 499.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 469.97$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.18 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 447.21$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.93 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 54c | 342.78$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 261.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.08 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 51c | 93.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 52c | 80.81$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.79 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 58c | 41.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Under | 59c | 32.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Under | 47c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 54c | 24.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 55c | 24.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 53c | 21.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 47c | 21.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.