WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1212b8588874dfaf52b1744829eb8d965f1c55ed315a07b8bd032d0abc99b824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Over | 50c | 25,000$12,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,511.84 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 16,751$8,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,375.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 3,987$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.5 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 1,458$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.37 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 1,155$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.11 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 1,117$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.54 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 667$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.74 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 426.73$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.6 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Over | 50c | 400.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 50c | 397$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Over | 51c | 372.48$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Under | 53c | 371.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.09 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 322.7$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Under | 61c | 246.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…5df7backed Under | 53c | 124.8$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 108.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…182dbacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…5693backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…4c7bbacked Under | 50c | 87.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Under | 53c | 75.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Over | 47c | 64.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 62.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Over | 47c | 60.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 50c | 60.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Over | 47c | 56.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 49c | 53.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e3…b6bebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 51c | 34.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c42…93bfbacked Over | 49c | 24.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Over won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-6.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.