Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc0d711104cc28c6f3a574643183728926a5e3cd4f3869a224eb1ea3b17a41e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 3c | 2,809$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.62 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 20c | 1,777$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.58 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 9c | 1,168$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.64 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 7c | 982.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 72c | 874.1$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 31c | 853.23$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.91 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 792.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 2c | 692.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 77c | 688.38$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.65 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 482.12$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 464.75$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.13 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 32c | 458.08$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 44c | 413.92$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.94 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 72c | 353.24$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 9c | 332.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 331.88$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.36 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…44adbacked Yes | 34c | 309.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 300.85$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.09 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 48c | 268.17$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 35c | 254$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 40c | 251.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 71c | 248.87$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 9c | 232.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 35c | 208.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 64c | 198.32$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.01 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 54c | 192.94$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 69c | 191.65$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 180.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 35c | 171.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 18c | 169.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 32c | 169.94$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 168.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed No | 70c | 167.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 30c | 165.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 63c | 163.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 162.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 149.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 149$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 64c | 139.13$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 28c | 126.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 31c | 124.63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 28c | 114.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Yes | 36c | 111.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 71c | 111.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 56c | 110.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.19 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 36c | 108.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 34c | 106.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 42c | 104.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 40c | 100.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 99.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 99.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3615…1577backed Yes | 35c | 99.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 98.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 93.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.65 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 31c | 90.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 45c | 89.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed No | 57c | 87.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec62…9191backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,102 | 40.7%448 W · 654 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 41c | 84.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 84.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 82.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 64c | 76.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…1e74backed Yes | 39c | 76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 67c | 75.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 67c | 75.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 37c | 74.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 71.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 80c | 71.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 71.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 72c | 70.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…368ebacked Yes | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 70c | 69.26$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 30c | 65.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 58c | 63.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 34c | 61.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 41c | 60.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…0ac4backed Yes | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 26c | 59.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 34c | 59.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 56c | 58.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…6e25backed No | 74c | 57.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 42c | 57.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 36c | 55.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 68c | 54.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 55c | 54.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.