Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c87632a1c483c121d9b01327945899cbe572becb314f6ea494e45356a64a5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,319
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,319 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda33…daccbacked Yes | 42c | 1,373$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.21 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 874.1$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.69 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 76c | 793.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…8be2backed Yes | 52c | 699.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 48c | 689.89$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.01 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 27c | 685.66$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.64 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 59c | 664.25$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.09 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed No | 75c | 661.5$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 68c | 604.34$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340c…f130backed Yes | 41c | 576.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.22 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 521.37$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.7 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 42c | 519.62$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.23 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 59c | 511.65$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 63c | 489.84$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.09 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 24c | 489.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.44 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 38c | 484.88$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.3 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 44c | 475.67$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.48 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15c0…befdbacked Yes | 26c | 390.16$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 47c | 377.35$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.19 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 61c | 370.77$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a75…ff13backed No | 40c | 354.53$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 51c | 347.57$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.96 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 26c | 331.12$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 36c | 327.26$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.22 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 13c | 324.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.64 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 14c | 320$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.46 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 15c | 307.15$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 34c | 301.88$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed No | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 29c | 282.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 11c | 277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…b9e8backed Yes | 15c | 235.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 101 | 34.7%35 W · 66 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…2b9cbacked Yes | 56c | 232.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 70c | 228.44$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.43 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 75c | 209.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 10c | 208.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 208.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 41c | 192.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.59 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 190.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.33 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked No | 43c | 190.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 75c | 184.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 67c | 177.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 56c | 172.98$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 21c | 170.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.31 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…587ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 148.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 146.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 144.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.03 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 56c | 144$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 64c | 138.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.18 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 22c | 135$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 124.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.48 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 57c | 119.11$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0a…5315backed Yes | 27c | 118.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 42c | 111.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.73 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 42c | 111.12$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.72 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 13c | 107.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.02 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 43c | 106.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 50c | 102.69$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 53c | 101.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…a692backed Yes | 15c | 99.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.51 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 75c | 96.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 94.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.73 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 70c | 94.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 70c | 93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.5 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 33c | 89.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 40c | 88.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 12c | 84.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 81.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 60c | 80.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked No | 62c | 80.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 45c | 78.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 31c | 73.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 47c | 73.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 36c | 73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 71.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 62c | 69.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa7…3fcebacked Yes | 44c | 69.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ed…9d98backed Yes | 61c | 66.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 822 | 68.7%565 W · 257 L | +72.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…3887backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed No | 80c | 62.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 50c | 60.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…05fbbacked Yes | 59c | 59.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Yes | 79c | 58.61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 35c | 57.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 23c | 56.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 68c | 55.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…64f3backed Yes | 56c | 54.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 49c | 50.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…c045backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.