Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19f8232c2d6a276f83fd365bfb862e7aa0a56f0cc7c9a6a3904ad24cd4202b84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,085
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 3c | 2,050$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…9efebacked Yes | 4c | 1,011$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 8c | 625.94$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 95 | 18.9%18 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 12c | 569.66$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…8be2backed Yes | 19c | 460.16$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.86 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 5c | 439$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 7c | 430.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.48 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 26c | 386.6$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 75c | 373.26$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 332.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 30c | 331$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 23c | 306.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 22c | 300.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be7…ad70backed Yes | 35c | 269.98$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 134 | 11.9%16 W · 118 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ed…ab3abacked Yes | 35c | 269.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 402 | 26.9%108 W · 294 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 7c | 255.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 9c | 253.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 15c | 250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 69c | 233.21$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 8c | 213$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 24c | 211.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 7c | 211.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 205.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 173 | 10.4%18 W · 155 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x082d…a226backed Yes | 27c | 170.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 62c | 167.01$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 19c | 155$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 12c | 154.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 80c | 147.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 136.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cae…e877backed Yes | 29c | 136.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 75c | 133.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 73c | 129.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 37c | 128.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 111.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 106.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 58c | 106.15$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 61c | 104.4$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 20c | 104$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 39c | 102.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 63c | 101.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 18c | 96.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 25c | 90.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 68c | 87.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…2321backed Yes | 28c | 82.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 26c | 79.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 32c | 74.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 71.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be5…bc8bbacked Yes | 17c | 69.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Yes | 30c | 60.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Yes | 24c | 59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 38c | 56.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…a692backed Yes | 41c | 54.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 72c | 53.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1f…cfcdbacked Yes | 37c | 52.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a6…b9d6backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 69c | 50.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 62c | 49.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 61c | 49.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 24c | 49.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…9542backed Yes | 33c | 44.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5589…a3fabacked No | 65c | 43.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…cb7cbacked Yes | 33c | 43.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 42.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 60c | 41.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9282…cf25backed No | 65c | 40.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…c693backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +15.5wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…bfa8backed No | 67c | 39.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…baadbacked Yes | 30c | 35.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2c…0854backed No | 66c | 33.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 63c | 32.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 37c | 28.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 37c | 28.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841d…f056backed No | 68c | 27.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…fababacked Yes | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 57c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 63c | 26.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 62c | 26.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…aab7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebd…a3a9backed No | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.