Us Politics · resolved market
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb3c2e94aefd13bb09a72fdf74d44fa7b2ebe437b863e0621831c020bfd4ed4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $338,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $326,971
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 210 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe036…616cbacked No | 2c | 51,881$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.55 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc47f…cf9bbacked No | 0c | 13,205$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 9,033$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 1c | 6,867$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…3ce5backed Yes | 19c | 5,859$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,741.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 0c | 5,015$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf23…aa95backed No | 4c | 4,009$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.17 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 2c | 3,788$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed No | 1c | 3,728$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 79c | 3,277$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…97cdbacked Yes | 3c | 3,056$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,967.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,372.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 21c | 3,030$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.26 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…bd03backed Yes | 77c | 2,583$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.01 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…6cadbacked Yes | 22c | 2,322$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +364.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 23c | 2,193$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…05c0backed Yes | 7c | 1,647$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed No | 79c | 1,592$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 51c | 1,563$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.31 | 149 | 35.6%53 W · 96 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 58c | 1,465$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.57 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 5c | 1,397$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.96 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 44c | 1,360$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 8c | 1,343$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +224.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,326$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 78c | 1,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +7.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +210.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb521…18f6backed Yes | 4c | 1,265$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +576.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d3…bad4backed Yes | 19c | 1,132$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +293.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 15c | 1,101$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.63 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2904…219ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,015$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…c341backed Yes | 7c | 1,015$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…454abacked Yes | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fe…18cfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,010$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…7571backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…f9e9backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 7cpaid | +1,438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6739…feb9backed Yes | 7c | 1,010$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 7cpaid | +1,438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…0ba4backed Yes | 7c | 1,005$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,349.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e8…56c1backed Yes | 7c | 1,004$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,370.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfef9…c4c5backed Yes | 21c | 999.98$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +373.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f4…e0f3backed Yes | 7c | 995$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 7cpaid | +1,438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…af7bbacked Yes | 7c | 995$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 7cpaid | +1,438.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…94bbbacked Yes | 7c | 994.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 992.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.2 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…ef19backed Yes | 7c | 990$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…d093backed Yes | 7c | 989$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Yes | 31c | 971.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…2dbebacked Yes | 7c | 964.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,288.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2730…9541backed Yes | 7c | 960$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…ddfcbacked Yes | 8c | 929.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,215.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe733…84a7backed Yes | 8c | 928$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 8cpaid | +1,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…2cd3backed Yes | 8c | 927.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,215.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…6f15backed Yes | 7c | 927$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,251.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ddb2backed Yes | 8c | 917$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,182.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…283bbacked Yes | 8c | 916.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,198.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed No | 6c | 904.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 22c | 899.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.56 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked Yes | 13c | 890.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,339.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…309dbacked No | 79c | 865.38$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 827.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.36 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 750$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734 | 132 | 16.7%22 W · 110 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1437…acfebacked No | 21c | 739.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 734.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.16 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 80c | 734.1$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…b9f9backed No | 78c | 687.51$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a6aabacked Yes | 7c | 661$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d5…6972backed Yes | 7c | 661$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,392.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 647.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.6 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2d…f0d4backed No | 79c | 633.84$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 23c | 620$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6725…1bf9backed Yes | 22c | 603.33$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 57c | 574.17$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.38 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 20c | 545.68$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.19 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 9c | 519.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe708…4345backed No | 79c | 506.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…7a0ebacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd509…d6b7backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +356.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…0a7bbacked No | 78c | 500$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…23b6backed Yes | 21c | 485.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…865abacked Yes | 21c | 479$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x788b…43f0backed Yes | 21c | 476.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…2196backed Yes | 20c | 454.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +388.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 14c | 434$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.27 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked No | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…4c3abacked Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +652.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked No | 79c | 400$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.4 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed No | 78c | 399.99$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 72c | 399$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 77c | 393.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dc…35f9backed No | 78c | 382.36$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…a02abacked Yes | 29c | 379.38$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Yes | 22c | 376.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 22cpaid | +365.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 14c | 375.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +624.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…be79backed Yes | 30c | 371.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Yes | 9c | 351.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +964.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 6c | 350$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 72c | 332.84$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…bdb6backed No | 78c | 315.38$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1308…45c6backed No | 68c | 306.27$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yes | 21c | 305$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +374.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eda…92a7backed Yes | 21c | 299.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Yes | 12c | 290$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…1f32backed Yes | 21c | 280$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +210.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.