Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07f75945dedcd453b6eb085bb22041e4d1ea25852afc500591d9caa7b950e575
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x688c…cc5bbacked No | 2c | 768.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 77c | 534.54$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.19 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 33c | 500.92$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 415.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 28c | 385.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 36c | 225.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…ad42backed No | 64c | 212$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.07 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 35c | 198$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.94 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 71c | 139.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 35c | 126.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 115$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 38c | 113$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.49 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…ae8dbacked Yes | 75c | 111.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 185 | 67.6%125 W · 60 L | +28.7wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…a03bbacked No | 62c | 105.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 104.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed Yes | 38c | 88.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.47 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 37c | 83.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 59c | 80.01$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 75c | 79.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 36c | 75.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 22c | 70.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 36c | 67.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 67c | 62.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 69c | 50.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…9674backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 76c | 49.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 30c | 48.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 35c | 45.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…cdb7backed Yes | 36c | 44.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 34c | 43.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 33c | 43.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a6…070fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 42.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked No | 75c | 41.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 58c | 38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 36.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…2005backed Yes | 32c | 34.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 36c | 34.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 32c | 33.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…7cfcbacked Yes | 35c | 32.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 543 | 35%190 W · 353 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x047b…83b1backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…b8febacked No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 286 | 66.8%191 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 27.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 40c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 23.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d5…70edbacked No | 64c | 20.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6793…1869backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 315 | 64.8%204 W · 111 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…229fbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.