Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed8f8c09c148033b95ef1c01f6602cac6be12234b2bfc5c35a74968aabddddf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 40c | 1,057$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.04 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 537.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 373.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 293.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 19c | 233$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 61c | 213.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.21 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 205.83$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 25c | 201.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 73c | 143.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 53c | 130.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…8ca0backed Yes | 80c | 130$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 79 | 69.6%55 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 110.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 74c | 108.74$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 32c | 98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 40c | 92.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 27c | 88.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ab…ea2fbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 57c | 81.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 75.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 27c | 73.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 71$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6780…41ccbacked Yes | 53c | 69.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 270 | 51.1%138 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 58c | 68.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 35c | 62.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 25c | 61.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed Yes | 29c | 61.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 34c | 59.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b9…a35ebacked No | 71c | 56.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed No | 60c | 55.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 23c | 54.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 22c | 52.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 24c | 52.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 60c | 50.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…e17ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 73c | 49.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 53c | 47.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…f1b9backed No | 61c | 44.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…2005backed Yes | 50c | 40.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 42c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 27c | 37.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a9…9674backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 68c | 35.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed No | 58c | 32.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 48c | 31.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed No | 67c | 31.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1e…b206backed Yes | 40c | 30.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 67c | 29.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…7895backed Yes | 69c | 28.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 63c | 28.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 75c | 28.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 77c | 27.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…cfaabacked Yes | 60c | 26.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 190 | 39.5%75 W · 115 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…898dbacked Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 60c | 23.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 68c | 22.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 74c | 21.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 72c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 293 | 54.3%159 W · 134 L | -25.6wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…3342backed Yes | 61c | 19.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…7efcbacked No | 71c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 79c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…7347backed No | 73c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…5dadbacked No | 65c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 70c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.