Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc8500535299ffc130e46b74b4fb8ad6d86a950629d80cc27a5ab35cd505693
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc84…a0d2backed Yes | 1c | 7,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 66c | 1,350$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.59 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,164$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.54 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 38c | 985.56$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.41 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 60c | 347.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 57c | 306.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 58c | 267.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.68 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 19c | 203.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 24c | 181$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 41c | 167.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 65c | 158.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 28c | 155.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 135.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 62c | 127.76$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 50c | 124.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 34c | 121.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 121.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 120.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked No | 69c | 110.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 108.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.78 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 32c | 106.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 103.23$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 101$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…d0f5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 721 | 25.5%184 W · 537 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff6…4cb5backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 70c | 99.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 63c | 95.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7c…968fbacked Yes | 53c | 93.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 43c | 87.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4500…115dbacked Yes | 67c | 83.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 64c | 77.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 42c | 76.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5a…b6c6backed Yes | 66c | 75.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 59c | 74.19$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 77c | 72.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 38c | 70.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…a31ebacked No | 67c | 66.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 36c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…2a3ebacked Yes | 42c | 62.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 30c | 62.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 55c | 60.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 31c | 60.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 64c | 56.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 50.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 40c | 50.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4920…2b87backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f94…0b53backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…2af7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…cb0bbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 43c | 44.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed No | 43c | 37.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 30c | 35.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2155…3428backed No | 58c | 27.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 188 | 45.2%85 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 41c | 27.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39da…5318backed No | 54c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 78c | 25.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…1ea2backed Yes | 50c | 20.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07c…6c36backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 19.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.59 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 60c | 18.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 71c | 15.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 61°F or below on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.