Tennis · resolved market
Zagreb: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Lukas Neumayer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc166e3ed33d26fa5b9bcef89b619f7523011008ce0ae27e9e4d6378cb88a5790
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lukas Neumayerof Diego Dedura-Palomero, Lukas Neumayer
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d69…e597backed Lukas Neumayer | 2c | 3,000$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +356.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Lukas Neumayer | 42c | 1,793$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.17 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Lukas Neumayer | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Lukas Neumayer | 6c | 999.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.99 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lukas Neumayer | 37c | 999.94$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lukas Neumayer | 20c | 853.78$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 70c | 761.12$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.35 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lukas Neumayer | 9c | 456.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 62c | 322.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Lukas Neumayer | 24c | 201.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lukas Neumayer | 21c | 196.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 74c | 162.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Lukas Neumayer | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Lukas Neumayer | 64c | 156.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…c792backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 64c | 144.67$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 59c | 101.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 63c | 87.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 76c | 80.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 69c | 78$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lukas Neumayer | 29c | 74.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 59c | 39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 38.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 39c | 34.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 62c | 33.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Lukas Neumayer | 35c | 29.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 55c | 28.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 223 | 59.6%133 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 67c | 27.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Lukas Neumayer | 38c | 26.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 25.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Diego Dedura-Palomero | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Diego Dedura-Palomero | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.