Tennis · resolved market
La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d89e51a0a5ba16003e0d9613b2ee6d46c8729e6836aac6b78a7c4309c4d29a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kasatkinaof Alina Charaeva, Daria Kasatkina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $233,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $259,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91c8…3ba8backed Alina Charaeva | 0c | 13,420$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9552backed Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 13,227$8,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,031.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alina Charaeva | 36c | 11,911$4,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,266 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Alina Charaeva | 37c | 10,693$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.13 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Alina Charaeva | 36c | 8,612$3,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.16 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Alina Charaeva | 33c | 6,001$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.06 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 47c | 5,300$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.8 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alina Charaeva | 31c | 5,140$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alina Charaeva | 38c | 4,226$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.27 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Daria Kasatkina | 56c | 3,450$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.2 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…7d88backed Alina Charaeva | 16c | 2,465$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 2,037$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.36 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Daria Kasatkina | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 1,575$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alina Charaeva | 1c | 1,562$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 1,431$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.37 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 1,390$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.58 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Alina Charaeva | 32c | 1,328$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Alina Charaeva | 21c | 1,202$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.49 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb2…f12fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 366 | 61.7%226 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…03b0backed Daria Kasatkina | 60c | 1,163$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.19 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 1,161$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.84 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Alina Charaeva | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 228 | 56.1%128 W · 100 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 1,116$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.37 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 1,100$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 1,063$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Alina Charaeva | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.79 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Alina Charaeva | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Alina Charaeva | 46c | 999.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Alina Charaeva | 34c | 884.59$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alina Charaeva | 23c | 842.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 765.38$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.58 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Alina Charaeva | 37c | 747.1$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Kasatkina | 58c | 669.45$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.59 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Alina Charaeva | 23c | 651.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.29 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Alina Charaeva | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 571.01$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Daria Kasatkina | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Alina Charaeva | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alina Charaeva | 31c | 499.99$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 474.45$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0540backed Alina Charaeva | 49c | 466.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -9.5wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Alina Charaeva | 20c | 461.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.21 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Daria Kasatkina | 45c | 447.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.9 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alina Charaeva | 6c | 445.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Daria Kasatkina | 57c | 437.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.41 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Alina Charaeva | 37c | 413.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0a…f6bdbacked Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 326.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.61 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9d…4a77backed Daria Kasatkina | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Alina Charaeva | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Daria Kasatkina | 58c | 295.4$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.4 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Daria Kasatkina | 64c | 295.39$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.34 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Alina Charaeva | 53c | 283.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Alina Charaeva | 26c | 277.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked Alina Charaeva | 24c | 262.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 257$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.24 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Alina Charaeva | 20c | 256.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.37 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Alina Charaeva | 20c | 253.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Alina Charaeva | 46c | 251.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Daria Kasatkina | 77c | 250$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -9.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5813…8188backed Alina Charaeva | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Alina Charaeva | 37c | 243.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.85 | 799 | 51.1%408 W · 391 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Alina Charaeva | 9c | 243.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 238.23$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 208 | 65.9%137 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 229.66$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.14 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 51c | 228.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.92 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Daria Kasatkina | 80c | 207.5$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Alina Charaeva | 22c | 185.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Alina Charaeva | 26c | 179.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alina Charaeva | 33c | 162.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Alina Charaeva | 26c | 159.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Daria Kasatkina | 76c | 156.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Alina Charaeva | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 147.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Alina Charaeva | 26c | 145.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3509…3e5abacked Alina Charaeva | 14c | 142$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Alina Charaeva | 10c | 132.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Alina Charaeva | 52c | 131.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Daria Kasatkina | 42c | 123.81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 122.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Alina Charaeva | 32c | 119.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Daria Kasatkina | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed Alina Charaeva | 38c | 105.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784e…6029backed Daria Kasatkina | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Daria Kasatkina | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Daria Kasatkina | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Alina Charaeva | 35c | 98.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 336 | 55.1%185 W · 151 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…15debacked Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 97.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 96.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Daria Kasatkina | 68c | 94.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Daria Kasatkina | 59c | 89.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alina Charaeva | 30c | 84.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 83.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…f1e3backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Daria Kasatkina | 64c | 77.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f3…bbf5backed Daria Kasatkina | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- La Bisbal: Alina Charaeva vs Daria Kasatkinathis page
- Alina Charaeva vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Charaeva vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Charaeva vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Charaeva vs. Kasatkina: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Charaeva vs KasatkinaCharaeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.