TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tomas Barriosof Tomas Barrios, Nishesh Basavareddy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,002 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Nishesh Basavareddy12c7,978$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.118,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Nishesh Basavareddy6c7,147$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.3329241.8%122 W · 170 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Nishesh Basavareddy5c4,450$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.099737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nishesh Basavareddy15c4,205$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.368,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Nishesh Basavareddy9c3,510$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.94,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Tomas Barrios77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.462061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tomas Barrios76c2,379$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.754,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Nishesh Basavareddy26c1,822$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5158639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nishesh Basavareddy15c1,519$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.618,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Tomas Barrios65c1,512$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.3179855.9%446 W · 352 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Nishesh Basavareddy39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.981,65849.9%828 W · 830 L+7.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Tomas Barrios56c1,243$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.0826049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…13e5backed Nishesh Basavareddy44c1,006$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.644443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Nishesh Basavareddy5c900$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4559954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Nishesh Basavareddy16c774.14$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.111,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tomas Barrios77c706.1$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.647,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Tomas Barrios76c661.97$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9736157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nishesh Basavareddy43c626.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6187251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Tomas Barrios69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1864,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed Tomas Barrios56c575.43$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.196758.2%39 W · 28 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa8be…f991backed Nishesh Basavareddy6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d12…4070backed Nishesh Basavareddy38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19010254.9%56 W · 46 L+9.6wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Tomas Barrios62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.871,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Tomas Barrios62c403.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2332763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb6…008fbacked Nishesh Basavareddy26c374$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-79.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc358…c52ebacked Nishesh Basavareddy28c361.08$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.12532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nishesh Basavareddy40c341.86$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.132,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Tomas Barrios73c319.57$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0680341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Nishesh Basavareddy22c306.25$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.944,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d69…e597backed Nishesh Basavareddy6c305.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.331729.4%5 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+356.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Nishesh Basavareddy19c299.31$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7932031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tomas Barrios61c257.7$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.53,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Tomas Barrios77c227.27$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2753655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Nishesh Basavareddy39c224.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Tomas Barrios61c203.09$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.211,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nishesh Basavareddy25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tomas Barrios69c192.56$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.979,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Tomas Barrios56c179.73$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.081,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Tomas Barrios60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6781256.2%456 W · 356 L-3.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Tomas Barrios62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2936349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Tomas Barrios62c160$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.850952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Nishesh Basavareddy22c154.39$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.363240.6%13 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick24cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Tomas Barrios76c125.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17065.7%46 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Nishesh Basavareddy17c107.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1853736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked Nishesh Basavareddy45c105.95$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4914452.8%76 W · 68 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tomas Barrios56c103.75$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.652,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Nishesh Basavareddy37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3756062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Nishesh Basavareddy40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9a7…9b83backed Tomas Barrios62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.772060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…2a3ebacked Tomas Barrios80c89.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184355.8%24 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Nishesh Basavareddy24c89.44$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.91,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Nishesh Basavareddy42c84.12$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5789859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Nishesh Basavareddy45c82.83$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2719548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Nishesh Basavareddy38c80.79$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Tomas Barrios62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6530053.3%160 W · 140 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Nishesh Basavareddy43c79.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Nishesh Basavareddy20c73.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.751,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nishesh Basavareddy27c73.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Nishesh Basavareddy40c70.77$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+34.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Tomas Barrios73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.497473%54 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Nishesh Basavareddy16c68.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8287060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca1…4268backed Tomas Barrios61c66.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1315531.6%49 W · 106 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d6b…8ffabacked Nishesh Basavareddy31c63.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.598066.3%53 W · 27 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nishesh Basavareddy19c62.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Nishesh Basavareddy33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Tomas Barrios62c59.35$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5512352.8%65 W · 58 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0a…36d8backed Tomas Barrios72c55.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5638262.3%238 W · 144 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Tomas Barrios58c54.12$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Nishesh Basavareddy39c51.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020938.3%80 W · 129 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Tomas Barrios60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2018551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Tomas Barrios76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831366.8%209 W · 104 L+27.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0199…4e86backed Tomas Barrios62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3912166.9%81 W · 40 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Tomas Barrios63c48.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.931,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Tomas Barrios63c47.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6288560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Nishesh Basavareddy38c45.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Nishesh Basavareddy35c45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7595846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Tomas Barrios75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Tomas Barrios63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6843449.1%213 W · 221 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nishesh Basavareddy37c37.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.011,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Nishesh Basavareddy38c36.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.951,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Tomas Barrios56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.716053.3%32 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+93.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Nishesh Basavareddy40c35.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Tomas Barrios62c33.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.862,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Tomas Barrios62c31.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.161,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Nishesh Basavareddy38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.424837.5%93 W · 155 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3368…2079backed Tomas Barrios58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.62123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9124…7a4dbacked Tomas Barrios75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.675078%39 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Tomas Barrios75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6720949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9081…8a6ebacked Tomas Barrios74c25.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7141768.1%284 W · 133 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Nishesh Basavareddy39c25.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0290340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2da2…fa9fbacked Tomas Barrios78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.64540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick71cpaid-45.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8a7…eaeabacked Nishesh Basavareddy40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83bc…678abacked Nishesh Basavareddy40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+52.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fb0…20b4backed Tomas Barrios74c24.7$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.412737.8%48 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa007…7b93backed Tomas Barrios63c23.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Tomas Barrios56c21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Tomas Barrios61c20.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0415346.4%71 W · 82 L-11.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Tomas Barrios62c17.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5234159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.