TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa007…7b93

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5451.9%28 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.24
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.24
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$19.25
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$17.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$20.13
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.32
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.47
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.05
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.98
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.96
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.9
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.31
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.66
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.72
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3450%17 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.64
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$20.46
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.88
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.99
Bucks vs. Bullsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$73.17
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.31
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$37.61
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$126.78
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Bulls vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$274.44
Pelicans vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Pistons vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$114.9
Nets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$186.66
Clippers vs. Nuggetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$247.36
Cavaliers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+163.2%+$70.5
Grizzlies vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+78.6%+$159.38
Raptors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+88.7%+$155.69
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+143.9%+$266.09
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$140.6
Clippers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+66.7%+$70.24
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.86
Panthers vs. Penguinsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Jets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$77.19
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$77.27
Capitals vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$198.84
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Stars vs. Bluesbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$78.1
Jets vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$114.9
Predators vs. Bruinsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Golden Knights vs. Canadiensbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$127.4
Kings vs. Red Wingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$232.43
Sabres vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Utah vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$95.52
Ducks vs. Flamesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Senators vs. Predatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Golden Knights vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+117.4%+$140.87
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$157.92
Stars vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$114.9
Rangers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$19.76
Devils vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.33
Bruins vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Sharks vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$70.39
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.2
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cal Poly Mustangs vs. UC Santa Barbara Gauchosbacked UC Santa Barbara Gauchos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saintsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$129.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$158.97
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$131.91
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.