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MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$348,491
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$349,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,491 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Kansas City Royals18c50,561$8,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,977.34,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Detroit Tigers71c45,000$31,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,05098849.9%493 W · 495 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8239…d9a3backed Detroit Tigers71c38,028$27,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,028.178666.3%57 W · 29 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+23.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Kansas City Royals29c30,305$8,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,762.958950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals17c22,189$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.0111,60652.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L+210.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Kansas City Royals22c11,042$2,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,408.834,40147.5%2,090 W · 2,311 L-76.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals12c7,228$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.3890146.3%417 W · 484 L+25.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Kansas City Royals12c6,964$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.6816053.1%85 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals29c5,457$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.543,54151%1,805 W · 1,736 L+53.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Kansas City Royals14c5,426$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.6723247%109 W · 123 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Kansas City Royals28c5,300$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals25c5,076$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25011,05451.5%5,694 W · 5,360 L+137.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Kansas City Royals30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed Kansas City Royals29c4,621$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3401741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Kansas City Royals29c4,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30575248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Kansas City Royals27c4,400$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.3813048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals18c4,289$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.218,65452.6%4,550 W · 4,104 L+506.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas City Royals29c4,263$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.221,15749.2%569 W · 588 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers71c4,215$3,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.28,45147.9%4,048 W · 4,403 L+81.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals15c4,122$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.658,25146.3%3,820 W · 4,431 L+41.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605,51750.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L+26.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Detroit Tigers71c3,613$2,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.484,52448.9%2,214 W · 2,310 L-42.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Detroit Tigers71c3,571$2,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.5783742.8%358 W · 479 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Detroit Tigers71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.1323457.7%135 W · 99 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Detroit Tigers71c3,396$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.3765252.5%342 W · 310 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked Detroit Tigers72c2,728$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.751758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Kansas City Royals17c2,442$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.63,10748.1%1,495 W · 1,612 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals28c1,971$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.786,12855.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L+347.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Kansas City Royals27c1,594$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.361,53059.4%909 W · 621 L+82.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb9f…345cbacked Kansas City Royals30c1,440$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4325350.9%27 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Kansas City Royals21c1,414$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.653,46551.2%1,774 W · 1,691 L+105.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Detroit Tigers71c1,365$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.211,67149.1%820 W · 851 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ddc…03c3backed Kansas City Royals29c1,201$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.171338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Kansas City Royals28c1,125$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0592854%501 W · 427 L+22.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Kansas City Royals27c1,101$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048745.2%220 W · 267 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Kansas City Royals29c979.86$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1626056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3116…b30dbacked Kansas City Royals30c876.8$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5053…913ebacked Kansas City Royals14c859.5$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3350%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Kansas City Royals30c811.76$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.53560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals21c752.73$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.55,17254.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L+227.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Detroit Tigers78c749.98$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7314752.4%77 W · 70 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93d0…058ebacked Kansas City Royals18c737.81$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.44616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Detroit Tigers71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.237142.3%30 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals15c659.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.762,06439.2%810 W · 1,254 L-29.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Kansas City Royals28c602.9$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8122744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Kansas City Royals28c597.52$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.311,42343.6%620 W · 803 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Kansas City Royals28c591$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.4857758.1%335 W · 242 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Detroit Tigers71c555$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.957268.1%49 W · 23 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Detroit Tigers74c550.06$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8115751.6%81 W · 76 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Detroit Tigers71c540$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.645853.7%246 W · 212 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Kansas City Royals30c524.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6945650.4%230 W · 226 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x322b…2718backed Detroit Tigers72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+35.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked Kansas City Royals30c449.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb5…d57abacked Kansas City Royals28c439.4$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0321644.9%97 W · 119 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69b0…293fbacked Detroit Tigers71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Detroit Tigers71c412.38$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.562,31452.5%1,216 W · 1,098 L+26.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb146…d16ebacked Kansas City Royals28c395.83$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Kansas City Royals28c390$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21,33144.1%587 W · 744 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Kansas City Royals28c390$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.21,22643.6%534 W · 692 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…2b48backed Kansas City Royals36c383$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Kansas City Royals20c366.15$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8634139.9%136 W · 205 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Detroit Tigers72c365.89$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7835668.8%245 W · 111 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Detroit Tigers70c352.51$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7512448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Kansas City Royals29c349.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Kansas City Royals29c345$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0592350.1%462 W · 461 L-1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Detroit Tigers72c313.77$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8615757.3%90 W · 67 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Detroit Tigers73c300$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8123951.5%123 W · 116 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Kansas City Royals28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841,29843.6%566 W · 732 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Detroit Tigers70c290$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d1…52c5backed Detroit Tigers71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.693948.7%19 W · 20 L-4.8wins-0.12per pick61cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Detroit Tigers71c279.98$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.21,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Kansas City Royals27c277.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0532850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Detroit Tigers70c267.79$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3414235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Kansas City Royals14c255.34$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.518145.9%83 W · 98 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Kansas City Royals28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7029654.1%160 W · 136 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Kansas City Royals29c234.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6746445.7%212 W · 252 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Detroit Tigers71c222.22$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.4448446.7%226 W · 258 L-33.7wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Kansas City Royals14c222$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5936453.6%195 W · 169 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers80c215.1$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4412,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Detroit Tigers71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2743247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea5…26e3backed Detroit Tigers72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3319554.4%106 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals28c205$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.43,31446.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Kansas City Royals29c204.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2257747.7%275 W · 302 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Kansas City Royals16c203.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1579147.9%379 W · 412 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f0…361dbacked Detroit Tigers72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569554.7%52 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87be…3ab2backed Kansas City Royals15c191.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Detroit Tigers71c183.1$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.123145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Kansas City Royals29c179.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1885949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Kansas City Royals14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255330.2%16 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Kansas City Royals19c170.22$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.672,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Kansas City Royals21c168.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4721433.2%71 W · 143 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Detroit Tigers77c157.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.949360.6%299 W · 194 L+41.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8ab5…95fabacked Kansas City Royals29c156.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.984261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd492…7469backed Detroit Tigers71c154.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934951%25 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Kansas City Royals18c151.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.611,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Kansas City Royals29c149.34$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7113357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa177…4b0dbacked Kansas City Royals17c147.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0512132.2%39 W · 82 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17be…e5b4backed Kansas City Royals20c144.04$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1747051.3%241 W · 229 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Kansas City Royals19c141.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.082,19140%876 W · 1,315 L+1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Detroit Tigers71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.855964.4%38 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.