MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99826ff0b8ab2562bf6d23b56efc61a38434352e6fc173c3bf9709044b6df890

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $541,356
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $688,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $541,356 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Baltimore Orioles	37c	163,436$61,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102,158.23	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	110,357$65,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,490.2	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	27,883$16,213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,213.01	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Tampa Bay Rays	45c	19,306$8,762 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,761.56	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	18,706$10,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,662.38	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	27c	16,099$4,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,346.73	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Baltimore Orioles	65c	13,989$9,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,876.16	794	42.4%337 W · 457 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	11,304$4,811 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,492.58	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff94…8c4bbacked Baltimore Orioles	32c	10,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,799.93	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+26%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	8,182$3,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,584.29	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4e…e5b7backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	6,718$2,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,829.54	15	86.7%13 W · 2 L	+5.9wins	+0.39per pick	47cpaid	+87.8%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	57c	6,498$3,704 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,703.81	716	50.7%363 W · 353 L	+9.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays	58c	6,339$3,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,676.61	481	47%226 W · 255 L	-31.8wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	4,651$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.18	280	42.1%118 W · 162 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…8416backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	3,355$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,912.44	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9106…d826backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	3,163$1,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,803.09	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	57cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed Baltimore Orioles	40c	2,812$1,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,690.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays	68c	2,637$1,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,792.33	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	2,630$1,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,507.91	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays	57c	2,444$1,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,393.08	118	38.1%45 W · 73 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa90…c709backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	2,330$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.09	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	2,319$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.9	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles	52c	2,245$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.56	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	2,228$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270.17	194	53.6%104 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	69c	2,164$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490.27	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	2,154$1,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,281.41	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12cc…3587backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	1,950$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles	44c	1,820$801 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.2	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Tampa Bay Rays	4c	1,748$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.05	106	25.5%27 W · 79 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	1,617$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.67	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	1,523$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$883.51	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	1,500$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$855	619	47.7%295 W · 324 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	1c	1,362$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	263	15.6%41 W · 222 L	-11.9wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Baltimore Orioles	26c	1,350$351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$998.99	96	39.6%38 W · 58 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	68c	1,301$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$881.31	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	1,200$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays	30c	1,167$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	940	34.3%322 W · 618 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Tampa Bay Rays	3c	1,074$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	163	40.5%66 W · 97 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Tampa Bay Rays	33c	983.53$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.71	319	57.4%183 W · 136 L	+23.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x34a6…22d2backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	965.7$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.45	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0926…6721backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	964.81$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.94	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Tampa Bay Rays	46c	756.56$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.06	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles	35c	707$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.69	4,035	57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L	+72.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6b…b46abacked Tampa Bay Rays	57c	613.18$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.51	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	581$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.17	187	41.2%77 W · 110 L	-11.2wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9958…b9acbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	570.69$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.76	143	58%83 W · 60 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	544.38$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.74	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeafc…e4c4backed Tampa Bay Rays	27c	511.11$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	71	56.3%40 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	502$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.16	173	48%83 W · 90 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	499.97$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.98	595	49.7%296 W · 299 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Tampa Bay Rays	60c	483$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.8	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed Tampa Bay Rays	61c	468.85$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	85	51.8%44 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	465$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.05	1,137	46.3%526 W · 611 L	+36.1wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	450$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.5	254	47.6%121 W · 133 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles	67c	449.23$302 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.83	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Baltimore Orioles	44c	431.11$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.42	102	49%50 W · 52 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f0e…7397backed Tampa Bay Rays	29c	425$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.25	78	47.4%37 W · 41 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…5d84backed Tampa Bay Rays	78c	384$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.28	1,100	79.6%876 W · 224 L	+32.7wins	+0.03per pick	77cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cb…0000backed Tampa Bay Rays	63c	376.76$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.99	486	60.5%294 W · 192 L	+40.8wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles	42c	359.47$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.74	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	203	50.2%102 W · 101 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	348.71$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.76	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	325$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.98	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Baltimore Orioles	44c	320$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.2	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fe…359dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	317.82$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.59	122	45.9%56 W · 66 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Baltimore Orioles	59c	308.65$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.89	851	48.5%413 W · 438 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe149…ac8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	4c	301.95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.19per pick	21cpaid	+94.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed Tampa Bay Rays	65c	301.7$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.54	56	66.1%37 W · 19 L	+4.7wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Baltimore Orioles	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Baltimore Orioles	34c	300$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$197.5	704	50.1%353 W · 351 L	+24.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Tampa Bay Rays	24c	300$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	300$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174	1,206	53.7%648 W · 558 L	+29.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e55…a332backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	300$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Tampa Bay Rays	57c	299.97$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.98	994	47.3%470 W · 524 L	-6.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b2…14c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	299.84$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.91	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Baltimore Orioles	44c	286.36$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.36	112	55.4%62 W · 50 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Tampa Bay Rays	33c	278.33$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.55	497	62.2%309 W · 188 L	+38.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	47c	272.01$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.32	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	250$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.5	506	47%238 W · 268 L	-21.3wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e68…3772backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	250$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.5	249	47%117 W · 132 L	+15.0wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	247.5$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.55	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d0…c89bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	44c	241.27$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.17	110	37.3%41 W · 69 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	239$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.62	917	49.9%458 W · 459 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	230$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.4	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	210$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.7	94	46.8%44 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Baltimore Orioles	35c	207.79$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.71	473	58.4%276 W · 197 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8421…4e30backed Tampa Bay Rays	41c	203.22$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.22	90	36.7%33 W · 57 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Tampa Bay Rays	44c	200.11$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.1	96	50%48 W · 48 L	-6.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	267	47.9%128 W · 139 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Baltimore Orioles	43c	200$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114	3,291	46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L	+20.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa982…09f1backed Tampa Bay Rays	62c	199.99$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Tampa Bay Rays	32c	195.93$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.31	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	44.9%75 W · 92 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays	74c	192$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.08	356	68.8%245 W · 111 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Baltimore Orioles	42c	190$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.2	1,205	43%518 W · 687 L	+4.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Baltimore Orioles	42c	180$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.4	1,310	43.6%571 W · 739 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6016…1ab5backed Baltimore Orioles	43c	175.44$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.71	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Tampa Bay Rays	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	162	51.9%84 W · 78 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Tampa Bay Rays	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f20…5d31backed Tampa Bay Rays	59c	169.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	129	46.5%60 W · 69 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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