MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6c2652b094a28731bcc3a13eaae9b77b5e4b7bcb2d99d274ecfefd64c8ec2d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 71,983$38,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,607.37 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 60,769$27,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,467.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 50c | 16,708$8,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.1 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8606…db26backed Under | 50c | 15,000$7,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 14,091$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,047.63 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 52c | 10,357$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,394.62 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Over | 48c | 6,755$3,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,512.65 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 6,180$3,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,152 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 50c | 6,059$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.48 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 4,863$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.34 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 47c | 3,006$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.2 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 2,633$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.96 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 52c | 2,628$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.53 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 39c | 2,033$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.64 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45d…230dbacked Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 51c | 1,945$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.35 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 53c | 1,845$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.54 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 49c | 1,812$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.91 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 49c | 1,650$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb88…0e4cbacked Under | 79c | 1,638$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 49c | 1,370$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.95 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 52c | 1,247$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.39 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 54c | 1,152$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.12 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 1,117$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.77 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 46c | 943.59$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.54 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 38c | 795.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 52c | 751.87$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.97 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Under | 52c | 751.85$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 560.65$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 50c | 549.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.78 | 326 | 52.5%171 W · 155 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 46c | 482.67$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.64 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Under | 52c | 451.12$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.58 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 442$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.16 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Under | 52c | 424.31$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.64 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 49c | 365.18$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 343.46$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 57c | 326.75$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.11 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 52c | 303.08$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Under | 52c | 295.92$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 51c | 294.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 47c | 276$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 54c | 219.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.45 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Over | 47c | 210$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Under | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Over | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 53c | 177.57$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 59c | 139.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 127.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.83 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 48c | 122.19$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 48c | 119.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 54c | 110$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Over | 46c | 102$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 55c | 98.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 52c | 91.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 47c | 85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 48c | 83.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Under | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…ad67backed Under | 53c | 64.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 51c | 63.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 47c | 55.34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…f3c5backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…c856backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 49c | 43.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 52c | 40.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 61c | 38.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 54c | 37.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Under | 52c | 37.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 54c | 31.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Under | 53c | 30.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Over | 44c | 26.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 58c | 24.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 53c | 23.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 360 | 50.3%181 W · 179 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…aa71backed Over | 46c | 21.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 53c | 21.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysBaltimore Orioles won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 14.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.