NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x212955ad2e7893dfa17ca7cd94ceaa523a60539b9ab8213ab5838435ee424937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Panthers, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $906,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $926,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $906,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Panthers | 33c | 330,190$108,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,559.73 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Panthers | 33c | 300,000$99,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,000 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Penguins | 67c | 170,074$113,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,175.01 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Penguins | 67c | 127,967$85,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,229.17 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Penguins | 67c | 102,597$68,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,857.01 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Panthers | 32c | 65,000$21,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,049.98 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Penguins | 67c | 60,000$40,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Penguins | 68c | 60,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,200 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Penguins | 67c | 35,128$23,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,594.6 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Penguins | 67c | 32,775$21,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.35 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f6…8cecbacked Penguins | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Penguins | 67c | 30,000$20,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 17c | 16,202$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 73c | 14,155$10,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.97 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Penguins | 67c | 14,064$9,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,621.18 | 207 | 56.5%117 W · 90 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Penguins | 67c | 11,000$7,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,630 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Panthers | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Penguins | 67c | 9,782$6,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.94 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Panthers | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 73c | 6,781$4,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.56 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Panthers | 0c | 6,596$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Panthers | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Penguins | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Panthers | 32c | 5,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Penguins | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Penguins | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e6b…9f9bbacked Panthers | 1c | 3,962$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Panthers | 33c | 3,673$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Panthers | 33c | 3,500$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Penguins | 67c | 3,460$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.21 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Penguins | 68c | 3,423$2,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.2 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Penguins | 67c | 3,333$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.89 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Penguins | 67c | 3,185$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.08 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Panthers | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Penguins | 68c | 3,019$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.22 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Panthers | 32c | 2,777$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.59 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Panthers | 15c | 2,522$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.11 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Penguins | 71c | 2,276$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.32 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Panthers | 33c | 2,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.24 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 65c | 2,147$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.29 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Panthers | 33c | 2,146$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.35 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Penguins | 67c | 2,074$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.19 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Panthers | 14c | 2,055$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Penguins | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Panthers | 14c | 1,874$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.55 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Penguins | 67c | 1,622$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.25 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Panthers | 15c | 1,563$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.31 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Panthers | 33c | 1,558$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.19 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Panthers | 14c | 1,447$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Panthers | 12c | 1,378$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.43 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Panthers | 32c | 1,261$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.52 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Panthers | 15c | 1,252$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Penguins | 67c | 1,231$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.26 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Panthers | 33c | 1,200$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Penguins | 67c | 1,166$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.83 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Panthers | 25c | 1,160$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.19 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Panthers | 15c | 1,150$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Penguins | 67c | 1,036$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.67 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Penguins | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Penguins | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Panthers | 34c | 884.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…437cbacked Penguins | 68c | 877.94$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.94 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 10c | 876.5$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Panthers | 16c | 779.71$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.78 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…03ccbacked Panthers | 35c | 768.57$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Panthers | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Penguins | 67c | 677.69$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.59 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…01d8backed Penguins | 68c | 649$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.68 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc645…e8bbbacked Penguins | 68c | 647.06$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Penguins | 78c | 630.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.47 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Panthers | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43d…00f4backed Panthers | 33c | 603.03$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Panthers | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Panthers | 12c | 554.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.35 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Panthers | 34c | 553.64$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Panthers | 26c | 539.4$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Penguins | 67c | 537.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.39 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Penguins | 63c | 509.01$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Panthers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Panthers | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Penguins | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Panthers | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Penguins | 67c | 486$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Panthers | 10c | 475$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Panthers | 33c | 467.79$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Panthers | 34c | 445.32$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Panthers | 33c | 430.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Panthers | 19c | 408.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Penguins | 75c | 401.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed Penguins | 70c | 381.24$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Penguins | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 97 | 62.9%61 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Panthers | 12c | 369.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Panthers | 30c | 360.81$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Penguins | 67c | 343.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 352 | 45.2%159 W · 193 L | -19.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Penguins | 68c | 332.68$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Penguins | 68c | 332$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Penguins | 64c | 331.19$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.59 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Penguins | 78c | 322.17$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Panthers | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Panthers | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Penguinsthis page
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.