MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71fa2b9df79ae3aed7721dfde68b16673f191b93cfcc24909ccd237fbe1a334c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $502,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 71,607$39,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,383.91 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 66,720$3,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.52 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New York Mets | 45c | 55,555$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,555.25 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 45c | 20,527$9,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,325.9 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 16,475$9,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,047.75 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.99 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed New York Mets | 45c | 13,333$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,333.33 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked New York Mets | 45c | 11,112$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,111.6 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 8,730$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 24c | 6,839$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.66 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 44c | 6,167$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,453.41 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 60c | 4,976$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed New York Mets | 50c | 4,646$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed New York Mets | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,985$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.37 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 25c | 2,862$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.31 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Mets | 80c | 2,574$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.39 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,400$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 1c | 2,254$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed New York Mets | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 66c | 2,126$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.94 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,036$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.99 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 1,980$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 23c | 1,919$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 20c | 1,815$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.39 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,718$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.07 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 1,665$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed New York Mets | 60c | 1,478$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.32 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,365$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 1,173$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed New York Mets | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 1,069$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.36 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 45c | 1,024$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked New York Mets | 44c | 1,007$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.92 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed New York Mets | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed New York Mets | 44c | 969.25$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.78 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed New York Mets | 47c | 855.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.19 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 798.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 695.29$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d44…a304backed New York Mets | 47c | 670$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 9c | 611.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Mets | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked New York Mets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 143 | 58%83 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked New York Mets | 61c | 559$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed New York Mets | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 2c | 529.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 4c | 520.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked New York Mets | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed New York Mets | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked New York Mets | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 26c | 438.05$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed New York Mets | 45c | 434.78$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.13 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 69c | 432.09$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.08 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked New York Mets | 61c | 395.41$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.21 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…5dd2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 11c | 377.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed New York Mets | 52c | 343.67$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.96 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 45c | 339.94$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.67 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked New York Mets | 60c | 333.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.45 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked New York Mets | 79c | 317.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 308.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d14…663fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 304$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 168 | 56.5%95 W · 73 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 55c | 291.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.34 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 13c | 282.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 241.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 230$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed New York Mets | 46c | 229.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.76 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…5c91backed New York Mets | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed New York Mets | 45c | 220$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Mets | 44c | 211.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…97c2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…37c8backed New York Mets | 69c | 206.44$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked New York Mets | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7e…06a2backed New York Mets | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Mets | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…a37cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed New York Mets | 44c | 198.8$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.33 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…d97abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 196.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked New York Mets | 60c | 182$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 8c | 180.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Piratesthis page
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.