MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac064f6da1a6b6b3973b1c62cd46585f27538c952f29d341eb56475fc55b77ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Minnesota Twins, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $679,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $700,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $679,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 170,169$79,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,737.99 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 69,748$42,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,201.87 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 59,415$33,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,368.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Twins | 17c | 30,616$5,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,184.83 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 25,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 17,645$10,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,996.1 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 17,498$6,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 16,125$8,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,465.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 14,411$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,616.23 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 13,500$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400.01 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 12,028$8,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.69 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 11,127$5,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,555.34 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 10,819$7,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Minnesota Twins | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.95 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 9,267$6,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 8,082$5,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.06 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4f…0591backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 7,316$3,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.79 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 24cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 6,544$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.1 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Mariners | 57c | 6,540$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.79 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 6,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 5,924$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.52 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 5,065$3,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.18 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Seattle Mariners | 72c | 4,930$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 3,638$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.72 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 3,500$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 3,394$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.68 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 65c | 3,219$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 3,217$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.63 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 3,006$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.22 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…7e0bbacked Seattle Mariners | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,623$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 2,404$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.37 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,266$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.96 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 2,236$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.96 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 1,803$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.72 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,755$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.06 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 1,694$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.08 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 1,640$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,631$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.23 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,577$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.22 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,478$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,445$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,382$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.84 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,230$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.7 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 1,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 1,089$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,066$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.22 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Seattle Mariners | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Minnesota Twins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 999.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Minnesota Twins | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins | 16c | 925.83$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.77 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Seattle Mariners | 80c | 915$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 886.33$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.63 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Seattle Mariners | 71c | 849.25$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 793.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.39 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 760.66$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.66 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 757.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 745.12$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.55 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 725.31$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 719.17$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.48 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…9a83backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 697.05$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 675.27$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.46 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 644$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.6 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 66c | 622.72$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.11 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 618.82$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.9 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…fc83backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb68…4ef3backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 578.2$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.28 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 560.76$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.68 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed Minnesota Twins | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 554.97$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.44 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 547.24$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.15 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 524.81$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 502.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.9 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1ae2backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 497.74$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 490.9$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eca…cfccbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 487.5$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Seattle Mariners | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…52c5backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 483.61$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 452.5$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.28 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins | 23c | 440$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 424.5$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Minnesota Twins | 13c | 399.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Seattle Mariners | 61c | 372.89$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…f35fbacked Seattle Mariners | 61c | 360.66$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.