MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5a315ca780632355286ffe87ef7721b6f049bf4240b6bd201b1d16de948fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 56c | 135,595$75,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,691.17 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 44c | 55,210$24,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,292.32 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Under | 52c | 22,494$11,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,757.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 16,894$7,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.54 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 45c | 15,494$6,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,919.09 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 44c | 12,227$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,379.89 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 47c | 7,879$3,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.13 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 57c | 7,817$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,361.5 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 51c | 7,598$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 5,925$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.83 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 44c | 4,904$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.76 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 3,303$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.41 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 46c | 3,072$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.12 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 55c | 2,656$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 44c | 2,145$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 44c | 2,012$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.33 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 1,810$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 48c | 1,630$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.7 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,526$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 1,334$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 1,177$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.67 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,095$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Under | 48c | 1,050$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Under | 54c | 947.89$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.03 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Over | 47c | 670$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 45c | 660.24$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.11 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Over | 46c | 645.39$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.88 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 48c | 603$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.32 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 613 | 52.5%322 W · 291 L | +29.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 589.55$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 586.79$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.1 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2d…da35backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 500$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 445.5$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.92 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 45c | 425.36$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 45c | 413.24$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 44c | 390$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…e183backed Over | 46c | 386.96$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 45c | 288$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 234.06$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 41.8%46 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 51c | 180.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 173.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 79c | 160$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.65 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 57c | 149.16$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 50c | 148.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.65 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 47c | 132.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.96 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 46c | 130.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 21c | 118$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 44c | 115.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…1306backed Over | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 103.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 50c | 101.96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Under | 46c | 98.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…ad4bbacked Over | 46c | 97.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 48c | 94.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Under | 51c | 81.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Over | 46c | 81.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 56c | 76.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…15aabacked Over | 52c | 76.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 57c | 73.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 53c | 70.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 51c | 64.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba2c…fddabacked Over | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 50c | 59$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 48c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 48c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 44c | 48.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 43.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 48c | 42.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed Over | 48c | 40.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 46c | 40.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 43c | 37.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Over | 48c | 35.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Under | 56c | 33.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…f338backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 46c | 32.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 56c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 52c | 31.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5Over won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.