MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf08cd93b8ccaa13bd6ee51558bf7c6525925bef3073478e480538f6359f12962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $813,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $815,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $813,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 343 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 195,220$98,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,608.09 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 92,794$48,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,712.13 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5291…d4b6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 83,717$31,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,336.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 81,310$39,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,028.6 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 75,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,999.97 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 50,200$20,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,981.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 77c | 36,113$27,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,334.98 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 33,338$19,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,798.46 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals | 11c | 21,657$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.13 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Washington Nationals | 26c | 18,469$4,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,794.22 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 18,436$9,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,902.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Nationals | 37c | 12,541$4,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,695.32 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…e4c4backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 11,500$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,635 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals | 6c | 10,311$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.05 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 42c | 9,953$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,212.56 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 9,042$4,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,411.1 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 8,929$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,630.87 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 7,865$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.58 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 7,500$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8be…0061backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 6,974$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,261.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 6,300$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 6,214$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.18 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Washington Nationals | 63c | 6,017$3,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790.81 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0099…b070backed Washington Nationals | 38c | 5,926$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.38 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 5,601$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…bb27backed Washington Nationals | 24c | 5,278$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x075d…58c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 37c | 5,135$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,235.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8462…d07ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 4,885$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 4,008$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.72 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals | 14c | 3,707$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 3,600$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 2,242$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.51 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 2,074$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.51 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,847$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.7 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Washington Nationals | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,595$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.65 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.2 | 132 | 64.4%85 W · 47 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,489$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.81 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,443$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 1,365$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,359$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.2 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 1,358$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.87 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,343$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.4 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,203$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.15 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 1,199$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,083$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…0517backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.16 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,002$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 1,000$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Washington Nationals | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 114 | 64%73 W · 41 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals | 3c | 998$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 44c | 959.24$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.85 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 887$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.1 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Nationals | 45c | 839.7$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.43 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 824.53$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.8 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 823.17$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.12 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 785.63$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.14 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 784.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 767.84$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals | 52c | 700$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.36 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…8b66backed Washington Nationals | 46c | 649.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Washington Nationals | 50c | 602.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 600$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 585.19$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 548.63$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.73 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 546.81$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.88 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Washington Nationals | 66c | 534.93$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.64 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 500.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.27 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Nationals | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 489.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 487.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 481.83$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6193…5b80backed Washington Nationals | 11c | 461.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Washington Nationals | 49c | 440$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 427.94$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals | 36c | 422$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…6465backed Washington Nationals | 43c | 418.09$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals | 31c | 409.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.67 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 407.54$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.62 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 380.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed Washington Nationals | 5c | 378.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.