CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54f82617ff5f7fc64f1fecbf552b03c06cc82eeb07fa3f339db0abc1d8d1c436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof 100 Thieves, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed PARIVISION | 79c | 324.3$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 100 Thieves | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…c6e8backed 100 Thieves | 20c | 225.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked 100 Thieves | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 80c | 208.61$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 75c | 162.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed 100 Thieves | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 143.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…b0debacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 96.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 90.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 83.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 65.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…16b2backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 59.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked 100 Thieves | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…7682backed 100 Thieves | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…70babacked PARIVISION | 80c | 48.06$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 27.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed PARIVISION | 77c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…fa13backed PARIVISION | 79c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.