TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, 100 Thieves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,549
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$377,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,549 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4272…10c2backed PARIVISION56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,799.971662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION60c16,404$9,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.5987047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION63c12,686$8,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,639.051,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked 100 Thieves46c10,775$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked PARIVISION50c8,927$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,492.7736152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION61c6,893$4,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,694.211,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked 100 Thieves41c6,861$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,816.916946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…4613backed 100 Thieves62c6,765$4,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked 100 Thieves50c6,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2501,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 100 Thieves17c6,321$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.42,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION75c5,176$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.232,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed 100 Thieves44c5,040$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217.217737.3%66 W · 111 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed 100 Thieves19c5,035$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.1417062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked 100 Thieves49c4,733$2,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,319.23647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…6b9dbacked 100 Thieves23c4,520$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.52611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-68.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed PARIVISION49c3,968$1,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.8426952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x568b…4727backed 100 Thieves49c3,960$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.382864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6236…08d2backed 100 Thieves50c3,892$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.236450%32 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed PARIVISION79c3,541$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.9240264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed 100 Thieves46c3,247$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,492.5417249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed 100 Thieves44c3,100$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION62c2,947$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.0488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…4c3cbacked 100 Thieves43c2,866$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.611163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+73.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed 100 Thieves27c2,839$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.055028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked 100 Thieves50c2,808$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked PARIVISION36c2,674$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.448556.5%48 W · 37 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70a6…a2ebbacked PARIVISION50c2,674$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed PARIVISION51c2,642$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.6610739.3%42 W · 65 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed PARIVISION50c2,609$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.521854.1%118 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked 100 Thieves64c2,500$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6007250%36 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed 100 Thieves22c2,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9912118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves21c2,495$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.892,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed 100 Thieves49c2,316$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.0421945.7%100 W · 119 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 100 Thieves49c2,275$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.8945646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed PARIVISION56c2,265$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.269445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION64c2,232$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.71,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 100 Thieves17c2,190$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.173,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked PARIVISION54c2,110$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.0140253.7%216 W · 186 L+25.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5592…aedebacked 100 Thieves51c2,056$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04019357%110 W · 83 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed 100 Thieves50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked 100 Thieves44c1,850$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81424943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed PARIVISION80c1,831$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick74cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed PARIVISION50c1,830$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.047943%34 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af2…a2bbbacked 100 Thieves50c1,809$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.424348.8%21 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION75c1,718$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.411,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcd…cbfbbacked 100 Thieves51c1,716$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87540%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 100 Thieves16c1,611$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 100 Thieves49c1,542$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.692,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed PARIVISION50c1,504$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.1228843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.2138868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed PARIVISION50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed 100 Thieves20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed 100 Thieves48c1,463$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.41,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 100 Thieves13c1,455$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.222,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked PARIVISION58c1,379$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.2781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5997…0beebacked PARIVISION50c1,354$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.571741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked 100 Thieves60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed 100 Thieves25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032346.1%149 W · 174 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4adf…d623backed PARIVISION77c1,184$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.586173.8%45 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked 100 Thieves44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017967.6%121 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 100 Thieves56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.162,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked PARIVISION47c1,088$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.211127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked PARIVISION54c1,047$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.6822241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed PARIVISION51c1,024$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.9510143.6%44 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b6d…27bbbacked 100 Thieves50c1,020$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.165052%26 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 100 Thieves50c1,007$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.511,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed 100 Thieves25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc9…7552backed 100 Thieves39c999.99$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39016749.1%82 W · 85 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ef…e2d1backed PARIVISION49c963$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+43.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed 100 Thieves17c959.48$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.159033.3%30 W · 60 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed PARIVISION50c953.02$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.5112259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed 100 Thieves51c922.03$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.245837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked PARIVISION50c916.01$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.011,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 100 Thieves44c909.09$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked PARIVISION49c891.68$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.7632552.6%171 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 100 Thieves46c880.92$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.453,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed 100 Thieves15c873.33$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13131654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 100 Thieves49c818.96$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2246165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb726…4d2bbacked PARIVISION51c798.41$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.228741.4%36 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION58c794.05$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.0560953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed 100 Thieves24c779.45$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.479534.7%33 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed PARIVISION76c777$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6841475.4%312 W · 102 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6f1…5729backed 100 Thieves53c766.7$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.357065.7%46 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe45a…2399backed 100 Thieves50c708.76$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.385446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc597…34a1backed 100 Thieves14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf897…8453backed 100 Thieves43c696.08$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-49.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed 100 Thieves44c681.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004431.8%14 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf99…9840backed 100 Thieves51c678.66$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.1217254.1%93 W · 79 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed PARIVISION51c650.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.3855039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 100 Thieves9c608.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.242,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked 100 Thieves48c600$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28530349.8%151 W · 152 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 100 Thieves34c594.99$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.072,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fa…4c6abacked 100 Thieves50c588.3$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1511564.3%74 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked 100 Thieves51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f1…e67bbacked 100 Thieves49c553.47$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2703948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024a…35a3backed 100 Thieves50c547$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.53855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION63c542.38$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.61,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x483b…f0a3backed PARIVISION57c539.97$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.391369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ea…36cdbacked PARIVISION50c532.58$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.291788.2%15 W · 2 L+4.8wins+0.28per pick60cpaid+49.1%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked 100 Thieves8c530$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.47834.6%27 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.