CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e3c06ae88301d0d0b37952bd35d2d3f55846b9c8e8ddbc70406c7c301e9a0e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 3,144$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.04 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 1,531$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.57 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Over | 50c | 802.1$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 51c | 562.99$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.86 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed Over | 49c | 448.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Over | 50c | 410.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.22 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Under | 59c | 320$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…dc3ebacked Over | 50c | 224.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked Over | 49c | 224.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916a…a570backed Over | 50c | 224.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed Over | 49c | 224.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…4058backed Over | 50c | 224$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…cd25backed Over | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…1ff4backed Over | 50c | 215$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 53c | 208.82$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e78…fb29backed Over | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a4…ad72backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…4b19backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…35f7backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 95.22$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 84.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 53c | 82.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…1af6backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Under | 51c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb42…176ebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 30c | 50.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Over | 49c | 49.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 44c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…4c18backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2175…4b33backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…7b19backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 70c | 34.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over | 49c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 51c | 25.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…b241backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…06c6backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.