CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e6e23da4b5165a56c535b543ce0e6ed8781c29567517c3f15d80b16de5f6a8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8992…ed1fbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 3,742$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,692.85 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb525…bdc7backed 100 Thieves | 74c | 2,100$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553 | 258 | 45.7%118 W · 140 L | -18.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed PARIVISION | 26c | 1,908$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.7 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 1,596$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.79 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed PARIVISION | 28c | 1,427$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.27 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed PARIVISION | 30c | 1,399$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.36 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed PARIVISION | 29c | 902.56$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.82 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed PARIVISION | 31c | 884.81$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.52 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 816.89$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 509$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.78 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed PARIVISION | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked PARIVISION | 28c | 347.57$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.25 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked 100 Thieves | 42c | 340.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 30c | 281.29$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 231$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed PARIVISION | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 120 | 60.8%73 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…3897backed PARIVISION | 33c | 159.67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.19 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed PARIVISION | 30c | 150$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8402…97f8backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 139.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed PARIVISION | 33c | 74.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…3d03backed PARIVISION | 34c | 51.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked PARIVISION | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed PARIVISION | 29c | 49.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 47.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85b6…f439backed PARIVISION | 33c | 43.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c3…3451backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…0ad7backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 26.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 565 | 54.2%306 W · 259 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…8869backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 154 | 60.4%93 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeaf…e123backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 100 Thieves (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 100 Thieves (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.