TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,748
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$71,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,748 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under53c14,395$7,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,629.245658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under54c6,126$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.0436152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over46c5,000$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,70036453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over47c4,152$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,200.5664852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9926952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88b…19d9backed Over47c3,234$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Over45c3,096$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.9721842.7%93 W · 125 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under55c2,548$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.475,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…befbbacked Over47c1,948$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under55c1,784$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.441,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over73c1,720$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.021,36066.3%901 W · 459 L+75.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.981,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Under52c1,535$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.1936645.4%166 W · 200 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Over46c1,315$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.438841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under54c1,250$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2519351.3%99 W · 94 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b75…6bb0backed Over46c1,087$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.965345.3%24 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c4d…20ccbacked Over47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+60%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Over45c919.97$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c899.08$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.132,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under44c886.11$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1825634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over45c841$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.0828355.5%157 W · 126 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over80c739.11$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.823652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4e…fbfbbacked Over47c685.74$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.443265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Over46c670.26$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.266848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Over46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.172661.5%16 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+45.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under54c599.89$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.941,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Over49c563.84$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.739746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed Over46c559.97$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9818848.4%91 W · 97 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under54c554.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.788242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under55c511.21$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.1726650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…8129backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Under53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9910644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2fe…695dbacked Over47c499.43$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.9714940.3%60 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Over45c442.11$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.140449.8%201 W · 203 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over46c440$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.621952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9219…c3e2backed Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked Over48c412.5$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.58138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Over47c405.45$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.8916853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under46c387.49$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.991,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8b6…d353backed Over48c379.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.998552.9%45 W · 40 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Over46c350$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18911150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under31c320.26$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under55c313.34$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.162,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfa…37f0backed Over47c308.51$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Over48c303$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7232139.9%128 W · 193 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over57c300.85$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.781,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3812…e4b0backed Over47c298.47$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4711242%47 W · 65 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under56c277.56$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.051,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Under55c217.03$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3789248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a30…7b6cbacked Over45c216.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.294645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Over47c212.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.982450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Over47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7720156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Over48c208.8$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.853850.6%272 W · 266 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3321856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over46c206$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2466436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over76c206$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6737149.6%184 W · 187 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Over50c204.72$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…d801backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1088348.2%40 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c4…9deabacked Under56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c14…a9c1backed Over47c195.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.745464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over46c195.04$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7832357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c68…d4ffbacked Over47c188.12$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under30c186.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.893,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Over70c186.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5626653.4%142 W · 124 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over47c185.11$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1130236.8%111 W · 191 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under27c176.78$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.481,64332.8%539 W · 1,104 L-48.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under26c167.51$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.222,45434.4%845 W · 1,609 L-189.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe679…871fbacked Over45c156.83$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.264837.5%18 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Over47c148.84$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.2740439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Over45c143.95$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1714443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Under53c141$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7337453.2%199 W · 175 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfad0…490fbacked Over47c138.76$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.762433.3%8 W · 16 L-5.2wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-41.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc6b…6bc0backed Over58c137.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over44c133.23$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6113240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e90…af65backed Over47c132.98$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4811149.5%55 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd06…b333backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.431070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+48.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd7e…8970backed Over46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.439453.2%50 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Over46c123.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9511151.4%57 W · 54 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Over46c117.15$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9158745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ab…bf47backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Under54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…74e4backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.76467.2%43 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under43c108$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.225,26231.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L-381.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3812157.9%70 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68b5…5952backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.384761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d69…1162backed Over46c106.22$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.362360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Under33c102.7$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.159732.2%192 W · 405 L-49.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-38.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Over45c102.24$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2340141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over45c101.88$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8811944.5%53 W · 66 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04c7…5573backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.999447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…1fafbacked Over50c92.23$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.236142.6%26 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xace6…a13dbacked Over44c89.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.396058.3%35 W · 25 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7540048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Over47c81.3$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0933156.5%187 W · 144 L-1.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under40c76.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.31,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under55c69.24$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0850051.4%257 W · 243 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b33…c931backed Over47c68.06$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.072740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e28…f043backed Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6710350.5%52 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ab…6fcdbacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6711348.7%55 W · 58 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.