Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa950287a950ed6a3b037d1424353414f52f8d8efe454e6aed36ea7977b8514bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof Natus Vincere, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed BBL Esports | 65c | 11,594$7,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,041.97 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.99 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,894$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.93 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,281$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,351$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.09 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 676.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed BBL Esports | 46c | 300.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.1 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports | 80c | 285.42$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed BBL Esports | 47c | 278.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 152.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.53 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…9c6fbacked BBL Esports | 67c | 116.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BBL Esports | 80c | 115.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 75.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 63.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 52.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 48.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed BBL Esports | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…e35abacked BBL Esports | 69c | 36.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports | 75c | 28.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…67fabacked BBL Esports | 55c | 27.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2BBL Esports won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.