Cricket · resolved market
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Americas Qualifier: Brazil vs Panama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7fd924c0da250634ee4e194fc114009e2f4544ab19796565b1dfa41355f04e44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panamaof Brazil, Panama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,388
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Panama | 52c | 4,715$2,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.05 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Brazil | 46c | 4,341$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.57 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Brazil | 30c | 2,377$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.76 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b9…a560backed Panama | 52c | 2,000$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brazil | 49c | 1,704$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.49 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Brazil | 51c | 1,290$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.54 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Panama | 36c | 1,171$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.96 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Brazil | 45c | 854.23$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.35 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Panama | 41c | 789$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Panama | 57c | 763.25$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.51 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Brazil | 50c | 737.87$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.04 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Panama | 57c | 665.36$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.93 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Brazil | 6c | 650$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Panama | 45c | 627.44$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Brazil | 47c | 618.53$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.7 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Brazil | 28c | 606.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.72 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Brazil | 59c | 573.12$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.01 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Brazil | 48c | 556.24$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Brazil | 39c | 475.91$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.7 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Brazil | 41c | 388.69$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Panama | 49c | 293.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Brazil | 66c | 288$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Brazil | 65c | 259.52$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Panama | 54c | 237.74$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Panama | 69c | 235.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brazil | 39c | 215.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.01 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Brazil | 11c | 194.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Panama | 49c | 156$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Panama | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Brazil | 63c | 141$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…a3a0backed Panama | 55c | 132.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.14 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Brazil | 55c | 130.08$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 184 | 19.6%36 W · 148 L | -25.2wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Panama | 42c | 126.84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.57 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Panama | 44c | 125.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Panama | 54c | 122.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Panama | 45c | 105.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brazil | 64c | 100.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Brazil | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Panama | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Panama | 45c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Panama | 31c | 87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Panama | 38c | 78.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Panama | 42c | 71.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Brazil | 63c | 68.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Panama | 54c | 59.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Panama | 41c | 52.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Brazil | 67c | 51.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Brazil | 59c | 51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Panama | 57c | 50.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Brazil | 62c | 44.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f7…0e8cbacked Panama | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Panama | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Brazil | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…81dbbacked Brazil | 57c | 29.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Panama | 36c | 29.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Brazil | 42c | 28.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Panama | 51c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +16.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Panama | 51c | 26.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Panama | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…9c6fbacked Panama | 55c | 20.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Panama | 51c | 20.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 62cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…c4fcbacked Panama | 54c | 18.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.