TailMyPicks

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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBRof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c3a…020bbacked Leviatán Esports63c20,000$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed MIBR37c15,947$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,047.169644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Leviatán Esports63c12,000$7,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,559.931656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Leviatán Esports63c9,000$5,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,669.93966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Leviatán Esports20c8,993$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.6319046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Leviatán Esports61c8,631$5,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265.1128955.7%161 W · 128 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Leviatán Esports62c6,980$4,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,327.688951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcadf…1f60backed MIBR37c6,727$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,238.312867.9%19 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed MIBR36c6,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,839.8726050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Leviatán Esports1c4,473$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Leviatán Esports63c4,000$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,519.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed MIBR38c3,459$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,144.784143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed MIBR39c3,138$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.181957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked MIBR37c3,020$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.6933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Leviatán Esports63c3,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.982152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed MIBR64c2,985$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.632360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed MIBR37c2,921$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.936229%18 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked MIBR46c2,780$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.1728747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked MIBR37c2,400$888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5121346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Leviatán Esports63c2,190$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.8351749.5%256 W · 261 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52c…01f4backed Leviatán Esports44c2,162$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.124438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Leviatán Esports63c2,120$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.5918143.6%79 W · 102 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a1c…b465backed MIBR37c2,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.013770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed MIBR38c1,943$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.6512138.8%47 W · 74 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Leviatán Esports63c1,825$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.759037.8%34 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed MIBR38c1,801$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed MIBR37c1,800$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1345160.8%31 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked MIBR37c1,637$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.627550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a7f…7603backed MIBR36c1,550$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.03666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Leviatán Esports28c1,370$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Leviatán Esports63c1,293$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.752552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Leviatán Esports64c1,269$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.162729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed MIBR37c1,252$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.35158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Leviatán Esports38c1,178$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2745250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MIBR36c1,136$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.0344342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Leviatán Esports41c1,105$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.67934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Leviatán Esports64c1,057$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.386040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd02a…4771backed MIBR37c1,022$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.427347.9%35 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Leviatán Esports64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64019656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked MIBR37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63026450%132 W · 132 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Leviatán Esports58c1,000$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.242259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Leviatán Esports1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9d5…180abacked MIBR37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Leviatán Esports63c999.97$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88db…54a4backed MIBR38c986.35$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.351947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3f0…9384backed MIBR38c940.83$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.831414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.29per pick43cpaid-68.9%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x94f8…e851backed Leviatán Esports64c927.55$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.636256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed MIBR38c924.99$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.6415843%68 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed MIBR79c910.36$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.3218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR38c900$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56286747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5e…1468backed MIBR39c805.76$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0e3…c760backed MIBR39c774.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.892528%7 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed MIBR37c727.38$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.253548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Leviatán Esports63c725.38$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e3…ab59backed MIBR56c712.91$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.41333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Leviatán Esports20c681.04$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.216636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x591d…f4dfbacked MIBR37c676$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.8813148.1%63 W · 68 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked MIBR37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6829733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports22c647.7$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.611,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed MIBR41c620.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.195032%16 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MIBR57c605.57$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.031,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked MIBR39c601.37$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36717653.4%94 W · 82 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed MIBR78c591.33$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8693049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR57c551.85$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5513759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Leviatán Esports64c546.88$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked MIBR37c545$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.354544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed MIBR37c540.54$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.5419655.6%109 W · 87 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed MIBR38c524.01$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.515738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Leviatán Esports40c514.92$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.469742.3%41 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed MIBR37c514.72$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2710159.4%60 W · 41 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Leviatán Esports64c500.04$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.033565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MIBR36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32036648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Leviatán Esports64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-40.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20528541.1%117 W · 168 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Leviatán Esports63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3152944.8%13 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Leviatán Esports55c480.27$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.593357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Leviatán Esports21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010460.6%63 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Leviatán Esports64c470.53$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3711747%55 W · 62 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Leviatán Esports47c402.62$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9914533.8%49 W · 96 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed MIBR36c400.6$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.3941537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked MIBR57c382.25$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6777744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked MIBR38c371.42$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.282343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked MIBR37c370.39$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.92944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed MIBR37c366.22$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.728538.8%33 W · 52 L-11.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x69f2…a80dbacked MIBR37c364.86$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.866668.2%45 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed MIBR36c360.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.551233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed MIBR35c360.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.085658.9%33 W · 23 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked MIBR56c354.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.44887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked MIBR66c351.86$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.634070%28 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e59…daf5backed MIBR72c351.45$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Leviatán Esports32c346.89$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9890733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked MIBR39c340.38$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.631833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7dd…12f0backed Leviatán Esports39c336.77$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1308043.8%35 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed MIBR39c330.7$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.044953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed MIBR37c325$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.754146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3df…f557backed MIBR37c311.28$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.112050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d1…8d0ebacked Leviatán Esports64c310.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Leviatán Esports59c307.4$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed MIBR38c305.68$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5215553.5%83 W · 72 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.