Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cc1baca0c643586a6e10c75ccaa4a5b4bd30e72ee85b2542475e3be0e53cfd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 57c | 13,520$7,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.18 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 9,050$3,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,801 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…a3e1backed MIBR | 50c | 1,977$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.52 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 1,944$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.16 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 1,850$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.35 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 1,510$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.53 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Leviatán Esports | 27c | 1,282$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR | 57c | 1,158$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.21 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports | 40c | 1,028$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.37 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leviatán Esports | 36c | 925.39$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.18 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MIBR | 43c | 892.73$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.18 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Leviatán Esports | 50c | 659.99$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Leviatán Esports | 47c | 636.88$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Leviatán Esports | 53c | 600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports | 45c | 549.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.17 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 423.59$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.47 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Leviatán Esports | 50c | 423.4$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.56 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MIBR | 50c | 403.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.31 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked MIBR | 45c | 346.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 46c | 288$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.34 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 284.59$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.07 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…2a5fbacked Leviatán Esports | 49c | 238.02$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 45c | 211.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed Leviatán Esports | 58c | 203.45$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MIBR | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed MIBR | 52c | 191.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.02 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed MIBR | 70c | 170.24$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed MIBR | 46c | 149$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.93 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Leviatán Esports | 46c | 125.92$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MIBR | 49c | 112.88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.32 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR | 49c | 102.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.63 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Leviatán Esports | 38c | 101.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MIBR | 47c | 96.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR | 42c | 95.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed MIBR | 43c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked MIBR | 43c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8436…a278backed Leviatán Esports | 45c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed MIBR | 43c | 65.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Leviatán Esports | 39c | 65.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Leviatán Esports | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked MIBR | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed MIBR | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed MIBR | 55c | 53.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd933…6a68backed Leviatán Esports | 30c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6711…1485backed Leviatán Esports | 50c | 28.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed MIBR | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ce…3273backed MIBR | 60c | 21.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed MIBR | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2MIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 3 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.