Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78531d9d3c0943220ec464a5f22e95f6726fd4df9940288759cec1d874b8b3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Leviatán Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Leviatán Esports | 35c | 6,666$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked MIBR | 61c | 4,644$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,805.11 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Leviatán Esports | 51c | 4,285$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.28 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR | 52c | 3,818$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.59 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed Leviatán Esports | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed MIBR | 46c | 1,198$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.2 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Leviatán Esports | 20c | 1,142$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Leviatán Esports | 40c | 1,138$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.65 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Leviatán Esports | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Leviatán Esports | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leviatán Esports | 42c | 732.56$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e3…ab59backed Leviatán Esports | 13c | 729.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed MIBR | 75c | 709.63$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.78 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Leviatán Esports | 2c | 538.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 70 | 1.4%1 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed MIBR | 58c | 430$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Leviatán Esports | 38c | 416.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed MIBR | 60c | 368.86$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.95 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Leviatán Esports | 49c | 350$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…2a5fbacked Leviatán Esports | 26c | 302.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked MIBR | 52c | 281.44$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75c1…22e4backed MIBR | 58c | 219.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5627backed Leviatán Esports | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MIBR | 53c | 199.68$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Leviatán Esports | 34c | 182.65$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Leviatán Esports | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked MIBR | 43c | 142.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Leviatán Esports | 40c | 141.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked Leviatán Esports | 57c | 140.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Leviatán Esports | 39c | 121.79$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Leviatán Esports | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Leviatán Esports | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MIBR | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Leviatán Esports | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 76 | 23.7%18 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MIBR | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked MIBR | 43c | 89.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leviatán Esports | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed MIBR | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked MIBR | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Leviatán Esports | 28c | 71.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Leviatán Esports | 39c | 65.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed MIBR | 52c | 56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed MIBR | 50c | 38.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MIBR | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MIBR | 42c | 31.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed MIBR | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed MIBR | 50c | 20.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2MIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR - Map 3 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.