CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x961588940f96934c6208ddc1ee089b09e934aa219b40b0ce3dbe1a2e4b4efcd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Gentle Mates, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 6,505$4,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.84 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…ac04backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 3,178$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,179.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 809.07$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.9 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Eternal Fire | 43c | 789.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.39 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 700$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eternal Fire | 36c | 676.14$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.31 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 599.45$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.14 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Eternal Fire | 24c | 461.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.81 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 366.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eternal Fire | 39c | 323.29$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.69 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 225$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 180.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Gentle Mates | 67c | 167.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 166.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 166.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 165.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.52 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Gentle Mates | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 141.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…99febacked Eternal Fire | 47c | 132.53$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Gentle Mates | 58c | 113$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.54 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Gentle Mates | 62c | 112.48$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Gentle Mates | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked Eternal Fire | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Gentle Mates | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 68.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Eternal Fire | 31c | 57.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 41c | 56.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 55.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 53.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 50.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.09 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Gentle Mates | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -22.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 45.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Eternal Fire | 79c | 40.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 32.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1eb…1240backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Gentle Mates | 48c | 21.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gentle Mates | 63c | 20.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.