CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf669c1625d57183232d90c006ef412f7c4f490a840b340f874415e205954e6f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Gentle Mates, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 543.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Gentle Mates | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 249.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…5ff3backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 221.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…2051backed Gentle Mates | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Gentle Mates | 68c | 216.48$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 15c | 153.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.36 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 122.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 107$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Eternal Fire | 17c | 80.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 74.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Gentle Mates | 68c | 56.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 43.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Gentle Mates | 73c | 37.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 213 | 54.5%116 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Gentle Mates | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 26.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.