Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd70cd14519793f29854a413b27547b270dd83154da10df9ea9cf318dc3583110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Spirit, Team Yandex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $614,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $652,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $614,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 304 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Yandex | 63c | 265,934$167,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,514.87 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 50,000$17,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,991.53 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 48,189$18,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,015.22 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 28,103$10,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,263.78 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 56c | 26,915$15,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,771.31 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 40c | 26,701$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,600 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 47c | 22,224$10,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,443.68 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Spirit | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Yandex | 44c | 19,472$8,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,827.46 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 17,227$5,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,959.23 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Yandex | 58c | 16,937$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,093.51 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Yandex | 59c | 15,744$9,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.91 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Team Spirit | 9c | 13,293$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.35 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Spirit | 36c | 12,897$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 36c | 12,115$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.96 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 11,998$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.09 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 37c | 11,995$4,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.25 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 11,744$4,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,213.14 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex | 65c | 11,483$7,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,019.01 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 10,005$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.14 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9c…4cb4backed Team Spirit | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 6c | 9,922$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.56 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 9,300$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.99 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Yandex | 59c | 8,500$5,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,484.98 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 37c | 8,188$3,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.2 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 8,187$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 33c | 7,633$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.13 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.99 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 7,356$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Team Spirit | 47c | 6,850$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Yandex | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Team Spirit | 26c | 5,490$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…74fcbacked Team Spirit | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Yandex | 64c | 5,120$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,842.16 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Team Spirit | 43c | 4,997$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.91 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit | 40c | 4,820$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 4,813$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.96 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Spirit | 46c | 4,420$2,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.25 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Yandex | 75c | 4,395$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.74 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Team Yandex | 77c | 4,112$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.36 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Yandex | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…6ed0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 3,780$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 66cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Team Spirit | 37c | 3,611$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.79 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 3,601$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.09 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 3,578$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 36c | 3,539$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.65 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Spirit | 25c | 3,305$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.62 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…7f52backed Team Spirit | 3c | 3,127$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 3,118$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.39 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 3,102$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.5 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Team Yandex | 67c | 3,053$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.46 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 3,034$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.52 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Team Yandex | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,896$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 36c | 2,803$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.12 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…2b13backed Team Spirit | 40c | 2,506$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Yandex | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 2,198$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 2,047$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.57 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 2,034$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.69 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 1,966$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.1 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,925$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed Team Spirit | 6c | 1,914$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.69 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Team Yandex | 55c | 1,834$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.21 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Yandex | 64c | 1,750$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,750$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Team Yandex | 59c | 1,700$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.15 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Team Spirit | 31c | 1,545$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 1,540$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,486$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,439$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.9 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,433$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.93 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,432$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.06 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,408$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Team Spirit | 41c | 1,404$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.1 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf518…07bcbacked Team Yandex | 63c | 1,349$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Spirit | 42c | 1,327$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.62 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 1,295$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.36 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Yandex | 60c | 1,288$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.7 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,266$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.89 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Team Spirit | 37c | 1,227$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.99 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0188…91babacked Team Spirit | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,166$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,109$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.7 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,054$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fac…b89abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.66 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Team Spirit | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Team Yandex | 60c | 1,000$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.38 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Yandex | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Team Spirit | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Team Spirit | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Spirit | 37c | 983.33$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.5 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Team Spirit | 52c | 967.7$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f4…77a2backed Team Spirit | 36c | 967.65$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance QualifierTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.