CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5591f5d912665078789da3c6c953bea6cade6e1151e033d460bb903dba559fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARCREDof ARCRED, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ARCRED | 59c | 2,537$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.18 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 31c | 2,303$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.48 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ARCRED | 64c | 2,165$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.75 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed ARCRED | 53c | 264.7$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED | 66c | 186.74$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 166.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 155.23$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…f793backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 128.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ARCRED | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 120$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed ARCRED | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Virtus.pro | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed ARCRED | 57c | 87.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 77.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed ARCRED | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked ARCRED | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed ARCRED | 74c | 15.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs ARCRED (+1.5)ARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.